TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa314…5ba7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
809
Categories scored
43
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT9248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.16
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$5.92
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$34.03
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$6.93
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Yoon out of custody by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.64
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.94
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+79.6%+$8.38
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$37.41
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+34.9%+$11
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$65.08
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+204.5%+$65.95
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.24
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.96
Another Canada election called in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.6%+$5.89
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.64
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.4%+$16.75
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT8551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$32.14
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.71
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+76.6%+$23.9
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.64
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$31.08
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+65.3%+$26
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.4%+$50.67
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.89
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+27.8%+$7.88
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Tech Release Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.23
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+191.1%+$125.26
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.5%+$7.53
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+136.1%+$68.87
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.7%+$30.86
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.39
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+135.5%+$68.12
Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.2%+$4.09
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.71
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.59
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$3.2
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.98
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST7549.3%37 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.7%+$15.87
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+76.7%+$116.17
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
Will WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.9%+$27.19
BNB all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.79
Aster all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+70.1%+$74.16
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49%+$37.14
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.7%+$35.63
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$145.37
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.7%+$50.28
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.3%+$16.52
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.89
Will BNB reach $1200 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.85
Will Chainlink dip to $10 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.68
Will Solana reach $200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.85
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.22
Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.1%+$28.85
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+66.8%+$68.25
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25.2%+$8.46
Will Ethena reach $0.60 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.14
Will XRP reach $2.80 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.07
Will XRP reach $3.00 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.36
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT7147.9%34 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.62
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.47
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.6%+$115.43
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+90.5%+$41.28
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.24
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.28
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.66
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.76
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18.9
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.6%+$24.12
Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.7%+$5.48
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.16
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+125.6%+$222.71
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$59.2
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.39
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.3%+$5.99
Will Trump send the national guard to San Francisco by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.8%+$13.6
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31.48
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$52.77
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70.9
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+82.2%+$21.32
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.32
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.6%+$19.92
US strikes Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+213.5%+$35.35
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.08
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.5%+$16.51
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.93
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.3%+$152.47
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.1%+$15.17
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+79.4%+$22.32
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+114%+$50.64
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.2%+$19.51
Will Finland recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
IDF Chief Eyal  Zamir out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.1%+$7.51
Israel x Syria security agreement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$2.52
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$114.76
Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+145.8%+$25.21
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.8%+$30.45
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$104.29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$25.22
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.38
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.96
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+33.1%+$8.92
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$70.57
Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.7%+$6.64
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.6%+$25.05
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+110.5%+$13.66
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+89.7%+$42.67
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+119.1%+$51.67
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+129.4%+$50.63
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$45.92
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$40.92
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$63.58
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$24.36
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+173%+$65.87
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66%+$47.56
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.37
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.59
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.16
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+223.2%+$37.98
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.83
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.37
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+30.9%+$3.78
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
Will Jeremy Allen White be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+123%+$31.78
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.1%+$10.71
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.53
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+46.5%+$11.96
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.44
Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.1
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.41
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60.5
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+84.8%+$15.41
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$15.41
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.14
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$33.96
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.06
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+60.3%+$246.68
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.47
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.06
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.7%+$165.22
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.62
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.44
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+230.4%+$54.97
Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+79.6%+$10.45
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+138.2%+$152.73
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.7%+$86.23
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$39.04
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.21
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+62%+$63.19
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.66
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$21.66
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+74.3%+$9.39
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+314.9%+$87.97
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.65
Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+52.2%+$19.02
Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.7%+$17.8
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.31
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$33.96
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+138%+$33.17
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.55
Will Eric Adams get over 1% in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51.66
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.38
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.63
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+193%+$42.16
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.86
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+95.1%+$27.24
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.76
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+207%+$85.04
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 22% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+27.9%+$5.66
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 19% and 22% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.6%+$11.03
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.66
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+59.2%+$42.95
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.8%+$12.27
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.76
Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.31
Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.53
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.42
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+38.6%+$17.7
Will Ken Russell win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.62
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $118 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.22
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $200 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$3.2
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.14
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.42
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60.05
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.93
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.31
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12.48
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $525 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.68
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+61.5%+$15.99
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+36.8%+$10.21
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.34
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
Will Meta (META) close above $720 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.82
Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Will Meta (META) close at <$590 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10.5
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 10 above $6.50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+51.4%+$7.17
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 10 above $8.00?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 10 above $245?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 10 above $195?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+32.5%+$8.95
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 10 above $199?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.15
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 10 above $196?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+27.4%+$11.3
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 10 above $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 10 above $470?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.08
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$13.92
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.2%+$28.51
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.63
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.94
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$119.44
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.8%+$13.96
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.4%+$24.35
ECB rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.94
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.1%+$6.85
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.24
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.66
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+36.5%+$20.45
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+32.5%+$10.29
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+137.3%+$41.67
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$20.58
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.12
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.64
Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$17.56
Will Powell say "Stagflation" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.76
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$22.91
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.59
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$4.68
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+71.1%+$41.68
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+79.4%+$99.85
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$13.02
Will Shohei Ohtani be named the 2025 World Series MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+132.1%+$22.85
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.41
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$7.06
Brewers vs. Cubs Series Winnerbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+87%+$17.13
Phillies vs. Dodgers Series Winnerbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.76
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$8.82
Will Kyle Schwarber lead the MLB in Home Runs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$3.42
Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.68
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+84.1%+$15.17
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.64
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$10.28
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+117.2%+$17.27
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.6
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.44
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$11.73
All 22 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Snowflake say "Open Source" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+163.2%+$26.04
Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+126.1%+$16.18
Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27.23
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.5
Will FS KKR Capital (FSK) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+187.8%+$35.72
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.15
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.01
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+222.6%+$28.98
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$11.01
Will Palantir say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Hims say "Collaboration" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+122.2%+$23.1
Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$10.2
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Otis Worldwide (OTIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.25
Will JetBlue Airways (JBLU) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.84
Will United Parcel Service (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.29
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.6
Will Equifax Inc. (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will Fedex (FDX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$23.43
All 19 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.16
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$9.1
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.82
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+79.1%+$15.82
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.62
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+130.6%+$29.17
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$63.17
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+46.6%+$20.97
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.71
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 5 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.29
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$50.49
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.59
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.65
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$11.8
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$14.27
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+83.8%+$21.46
Megaquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.85
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$38.37
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$42.7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.44
2025 September third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.78
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$8.51
2025 September second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+65.6%+$19.34
Will Melissa become a category 5 hurricane?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will less than 12 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$6.89
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.84
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.03
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will a hurricane form by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$9.44
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+174.2%+$40.65
All 16 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.09
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+200.9%+$73.53
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+30.4%+$5.19
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$43.43
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.99
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.94
Will monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.37
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+72.3%+$32.56
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$24.78
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+271.9%+$30.71
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$26.15
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.33
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.52
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.93
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$11.15
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$4.56
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.5
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.11
Will the Boston Celtics win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CS: FURIA vs Astralisbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.53
Valorant: TL vs EDGbacked EDG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.26
CS: ENCE vs GUN5backed GUN5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+55%+$14.91
LoL: ES vs BDSAbacked ES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+132.4%+$23.93
CS: TYLOO vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$15.32
CS: Liquid vs HEROICbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+55%+$14.91
LoL: BFXY vs DNF.Cbacked BFXY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.44
LoL: DRX.C vs GGAbacked DRX.C · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$7.79
CS: Aurora vs TYLOObacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.3
CS: 3DMAX vs FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$14.07
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.71
Will MOUZ win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.3%+$29.03
Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+299.5%+$30.75
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+137.3%+$42.67
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.08
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.1%+$30.02
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.99
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
F1 Belgian Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+45%+$4.53
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$12.02
Asia Cup: India vs Sri Lankabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$4.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$48.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.9%+$116.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lorient be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$4.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 Leagues Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$4.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.