MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7a97497aed3cc6c2fec1468d700e4f8e9ccf55dc2dfbe81427a01ec406d4111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Twins, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Twins | 39c | 223,969$87,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,280.2 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees | 62c | 197,945$121,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,155.45 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Yankees | 62c | 31,374$19,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,923.73 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 39c | 25,560$9,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,968.1 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Twins | 38c | 11,053$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.14 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 61c | 8,775$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.24 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 61c | 8,162$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.33 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Yankees | 61c | 8,061$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.9 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins | 38c | 7,629$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.73 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Yankees | 61c | 6,772$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.08 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Twins | 38c | 6,684$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.01 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 62c | 5,961$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.05 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 37c | 5,555$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.19 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc066…672dbacked Twins | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 62c | 5,207$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.66 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 8c | 5,086$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.96 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 62c | 4,751$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…8e95backed Twins | 37c | 4,595$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Yankees | 62c | 4,099$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Twins | 39c | 4,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Yankees | 70c | 3,764$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.25 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…7358backed Yankees | 63c | 3,651$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…d77ebacked Twins | 38c | 3,212$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Twins | 39c | 3,200$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f31…1fcbbacked Yankees | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e06…dd7fbacked Yankees | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Twins | 36c | 3,153$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.17 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yankees | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Twins | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…2056backed Twins | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yankees | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 40c | 2,239$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.6 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yankees | 62c | 2,121$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.92 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 38c | 2,105$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yankees | 62c | 1,748$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.13 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 3c | 1,691$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Yankees | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins | 9c | 1,536$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yankees | 62c | 1,398$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.24 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Yankees | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 3c | 1,225$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Twins | 38c | 1,199$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.62 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 28c | 1,148$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees | 63c | 1,108$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.13 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 37c | 1,060$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.18 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Twins | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yankees | 64c | 1,012$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Twins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Twins | 37c | 989.92$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.27 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 62c | 806.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.39 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 38c | 793.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Twins | 38c | 727.55$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.47 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Twins | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 38c | 664.77$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.61 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 61c | 655$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 37c | 647.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.74 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yankees | 63c | 637.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked Twins | 38c | 571.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees | 61c | 570$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Twins | 6c | 547.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Twins | 38c | 540.87$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Twins | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 38c | 526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yankees | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Twins | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Twins | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Yankees | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 9c | 471.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Yankees | 63c | 460.32$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Twins | 38c | 422$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins | 38c | 402.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.95 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Twins | 12c | 400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 38c | 395$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Yankees | 62c | 384.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 27c | 377.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 37c | 375.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Yankees | 63c | 349.49$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Twins | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Twins | 38c | 318$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…c720backed Yankees | 63c | 317.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Twins | 38c | 317.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x195c…f698backed Yankees | 63c | 315.79$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…fc16backed Twins | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…50fabacked Yankees | 74c | 272.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Yankees | 63c | 271.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Twins | 16c | 268.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Twins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 40c | 250.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 38c | 249.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 61c | 243$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Twins | 29c | 228$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Twins | 37c | 212$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Twins | 7c | 204.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.