TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ec0…40da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT6637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Morelos: Michael Mmoh vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$9.18
Miami Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$5.02
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wubacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.34
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Camila Osoriobacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$4.86
Miami Open: Linda Noskova vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$59.12
Miami Open: Jack Draper vs Reilly Opelkabacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Clara Tausonbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+115%+$54.75
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Miami Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Murcia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.53
Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+165.1%+$86
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$13.14
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Alex Molcanbacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$7.22
Asuncion: Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midonbacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.21
Santiago: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Hersonissos 2: Robin Bertrand vs Toby Samuelbacked Robin Bertrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrej Martinbacked Andrej Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.83
Austin: Bianca Andreescu vs Emerson Jonesbacked Emerson Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
Phoenix: Jay Dylan Friend vs Marcos Gironbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT4126.8%11 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Red Sox vs. Astrosbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.73
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
Nationals vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+278.4%+$51.49
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$19.2
Nationals vs. Royalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.68
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.65
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.1
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Rays vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.57
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.36
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.24
Diamondbacks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+644.7%+$472.73
Red Sox vs. Astrosbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.63
Nationals vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+202%+$23.95
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.86
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.15
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+309.8%+$35.53
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$85
Red Sox vs. Padresbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.02
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$9.4
Charlotte 49ers vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$49.05
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.32
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.68
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.4
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+245%+$315.96
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Texas Southern Tigers (W)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$65.75
Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+117.6%+$62.15
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$45
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$53.75
Will XRP dip to $2.50 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will XRP dip to $2.70 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$152.5
Will Solana reach $190 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Solana reach $175 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will XRP reach $3.30 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.4
Will XRP reach $3.20 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.35
Wings vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.96
Sun vs Valkyriesbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Sun vs Acesbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$12.72
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$22.6
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$77.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.88
Will Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,079.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22m and $25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+97.7%+$64.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+45.7%+$82.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.