TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,192,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,202,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,192,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8105…9f6dbacked No0c331,720$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes63c62,875$39,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,060.135123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes33c33,684$11,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,525.522216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No71c23,130$16,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,498.1713863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes48c20,754$10,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,722.5663835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb63a…4064backed Yes78c20,000$15,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,373.8917231.4%54 W · 118 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No46c18,889$8,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,689.8313053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No49c12,475$6,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,066.7213038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4c…a95dbacked Yes49c12,065$5,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,166.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No38c11,418$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.463164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf651…3adfbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+88.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40010313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db6…09dabacked Yes47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3001457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+108.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdfbf…7cb6backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes48c9,851$4,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.344721.3%10 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6e…255abacked No21c8,782$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4c…2833backed Yes73c8,136$5,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed No57c8,000$4,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,579.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No63c7,468$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,707.0758126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes19c6,983$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,635.8112824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes54c6,770$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.95837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No47c6,500$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.035869%40 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed No28c6,168$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.33925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes34c5,886$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.4818425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2007123.9%17 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes55c4,942$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.9132524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5554…9e9fbacked Yes78c4,864$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes47c4,283$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.495425.9%14 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No20c3,972$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.5112736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes62c3,645$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.734330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38e…cdf5backed No36c3,630$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491a…27ccbacked No48c3,606$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed No60c3,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf4b…8d73backed Yes50c3,188$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.282218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc9…61fbbacked No15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…a499backed Yes75c2,937$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.72650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes49c2,796$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.3718315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9134…3e25backed No19c2,584$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No66c2,425$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.779041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No55c2,365$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.983253.1%17 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed No21c2,244$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.9812020%24 W · 96 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebaa…abacbacked Yes9c2,201$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.09362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-68.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d7…6281backed No53c2,000$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdff…806ebacked Yes38c1,809$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58e2…dfeabacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.71520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc952…38e8backed No8c1,721$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…c55bbacked No17c1,718$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x131f…2fedbacked No31c1,641$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.512119%4 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3974…0a37backed No61c1,640$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c6…b472backed Yes62c1,639$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes45c1,621$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.9229126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked No26c1,614$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.6217229.7%51 W · 121 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes47c1,548$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.672250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked No52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaee3…1b92backed No19c1,490$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9b…8da6backed No33c1,489$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf252…8208backed No71c1,479$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…657fbacked No68c1,470$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.73240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b5c…3748backed No11c1,463$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc99c…5c6bbacked No51c1,436$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a3…01f8backed Yes71c1,413$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes13c1,412$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.758010%8 W · 72 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea63…1ebcbacked Yes71c1,406$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.07560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8a…9fb8backed Yes75c1,397$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No8c1,349$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.651693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x979d…189bbacked Yes46c1,252$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.9812100%12 W · 0 L+5.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+139.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No7c1,200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807219.4%14 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81c…971bbacked No19c1,191$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ffb…3c0ebacked No31c1,165$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f71…2e46backed No62c1,129$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x277e…7d32backed Yes70c1,116$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.873786.5%32 W · 5 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+31.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No48c1,098$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.773554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb61…58ffbacked No54c1,092$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed No39c1,069$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.621428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x594c…3399backed No10c1,058$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…774bbacked Yes15c1,042$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+304.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No38c1,033$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.496758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No38c1,000$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.3114075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa29b…d11cbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed No16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…beb9backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a3…6bd4backed Yes52c1,000$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.481811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-54.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d6…01f9backed No17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170797.6%6 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438d…8ef2backed No79c999.99$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes58c998.8$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8077…110fbacked No51c996.43$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2721…325bbacked Yes53c982$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.481844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+95.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9d…b8c6backed Yes32c945.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes71c900$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2582454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf22…3463backed No47c899.99$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2f…279ebacked Yes77c870.88$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.321070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No38c859.96$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.182420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Yes21c849.23$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.392416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed No29c840$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.364759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…766dbacked No15c837.87$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.841872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No54c836.73$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.741040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No44c834.62$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.646250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No25c815.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed No22c814.36$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.883551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3273…9621backed No43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.