TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,480,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,489,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,480,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56db…750bbacked Yes3c132,460$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.38220%0 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes2c78,965$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.78306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…0752backed Yes2c26,079$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.86120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes10c20,174$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.6610313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba1…673cbacked Yes6c18,847$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes17c18,609$3,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.6925824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a4…7e2dbacked Yes5c18,523$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8a…9fb8backed Yes6c17,774$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49cb…05b2backed Yes10c16,033$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked Yes6c15,041$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.38933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes12c14,940$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.0318315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bd6…5a2abacked Yes3c11,410$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf562…4099backed Yes9c11,132$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.54175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-89.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89b…f512backed Yes18c11,130$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d5…b3d8backed Yes1c11,058$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead3…68debacked Yes2c10,651$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb836…9e4ebacked Yes9c8,915$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.13837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+122.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c8,742$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.091,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes17c8,396$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.222216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c8,186$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.436785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes5c8,175$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.062999.4%28 W · 271 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f5…ea74backed Yes4c7,841$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32190%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6d…e408backed Yes1c7,660$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes5c7,613$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001466.2%9 W · 137 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5784…effebacked Yes6c7,000$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid+53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes9c6,761$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004422.7%10 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc0…9239backed Yes3c6,652$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes4c6,300$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.54721.3%10 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc632…55bebacked Yes8c6,114$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.183611.1%4 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4739…33c9backed Yes6c5,910$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.211625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b15…db42backed Yes2c5,411$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd2…22c4backed Yes14c5,338$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x530e…cc11backed Yes12c5,031$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.36123%14 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+143.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f60…4bd4backed Yes5c4,965$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.741010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+115.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bd…9980backed Yes4c4,859$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf274…37f4backed Yes6c4,730$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.475612.5%7 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d6…0ca3backed Yes2c4,538$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes4c4,313$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.522125.7%12 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes22c4,312$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.7637745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6877…de8abacked Yes6c4,300$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.51513.3%2 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes3c4,291$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.961203.3%4 W · 116 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes3c4,243$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.311463.4%5 W · 141 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4974…2da0backed Yes5c4,173$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f8…4f06backed Yes6c4,169$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371c…b37ebacked Yes4c4,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed Yes0c3,974$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.921070%0 W · 107 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc7…3210backed Yes5c3,887$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157a…cbcabacked Yes1c3,865$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9750%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96fa…4ad4backed Yes9c3,759$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef3…0f7abacked Yes6c3,343$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.81450%2 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+415.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes4c3,000$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1268411.9%10 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick4cpaid+599.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e2…6968backed Yes4c2,989$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2f…279ebacked Yes24c2,982$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.521070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd42f…301abacked Yes5c2,846$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdba7…6492backed Yes18c2,762$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c4…6f1dbacked Yes2c2,744$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c8…d43cbacked Yes6c2,699$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x416e…3fffbacked Yes4c2,652$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc8…02b5backed Yes4c2,609$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f6…5649backed Yes20c2,529$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Yes4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac9…ca59backed Yes17c2,491$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.482920.7%6 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes5c2,450$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.38781.3%1 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick6cpaid-86.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xece1…2b04backed Yes4c2,442$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes15c2,420$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7958126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad75…3002backed Yes3c2,398$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Yes7c2,363$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.432416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd824…89b4backed Yes6c2,338$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.491811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes3c2,258$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.311073.7%4 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf179…a4e9backed Yes6c2,058$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.67728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick9cpaid+158.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa5…4c70backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4297…ea39backed No78c2,000$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes5c1,914$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.04541.9%1 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0516…97b9backed Yes16c1,894$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44fc…cbe3backed Yes3c1,879$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.51127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick10cpaid+474.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes9c1,861$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.882420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes14c1,842$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+68.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…682bbacked Yes2c1,804$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a26…8e98backed Yes5c1,798$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebaa…abacbacked Yes4c1,796$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.84362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-68.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce03…5608backed No76c1,766$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…d70bbacked Yes6c1,720$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb803…b265backed Yes2c1,693$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x010b…81dcbacked Yes22c1,676$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.174837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ca…a461backed Yes23c1,668$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.452429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb353…df38backed Yes15c1,663$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed No80c1,621$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.39966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3d…f1e6backed Yes3c1,600$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5f…0586backed Yes5c1,595$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes7c1,575$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.681431.4%2 W · 141 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ba…0918backed Yes5c1,571$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.25616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97b…2961backed Yes5c1,567$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69f4…fe12backed Yes6c1,503$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…743fbacked Yes5c1,491$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.68812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a34…c226backed Yes15c1,408$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.713315.2%5 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca4…003ebacked Yes10c1,365$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c14…eed2backed Yes5c1,330$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes11c1,309$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.131693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad20…2179backed Yes21c1,304$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a0…560ebacked Yes4c1,302$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.