TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e48…95c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 58 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.63
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$76.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,052.03
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,274.32
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$244.02
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.8
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.65
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$29.16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 42°F or higher on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,076.68
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,249.58
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$134.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.7%+$199.09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 76°F or higher on February 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$32.95
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+80.4%+$340.66
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.3%+$106.23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$689.98
All 25 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,570.71
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.47
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$2,641.97
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+239.5%+$1,938.28
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,039.99
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+107%+$186.15
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$339.41
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$1,227.99
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.8
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,489Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$858.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$92.57
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,501Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$729.18
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$291.13
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.76
Will Mike Maignan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$220.99
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$511.51
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,552.17
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.41
Will Fabián Ruiz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.99
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$225.58
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,031Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.2%+$1,498.19
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17,620.9
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$780
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$500
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$659.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.2%+$20,501.46
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.46
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.6%+$330.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$6,306.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-78.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$2,132.97
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$4,549.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,189.99
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$1,833.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,891.15
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$750
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25.8%+$410
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$243.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.