TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94c4…43cabacked No58c14,547$8,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.816144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c12,825$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.32323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c7…fb64backed Yes56c5,279$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed Yes43c3,643$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.711369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes29c3,465$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed No47c3,226$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.048140.7%33 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Yes31c3,221$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d4…9c57backed No31c3,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0602835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…f7f0backed Yes65c2,975$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No33c2,569$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.616334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Yes34c2,399$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.532828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked No42c2,138$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Yes29c2,000$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No62c1,957$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.665743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed Yes54c1,859$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f82…0711backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No38c1,747$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.8322927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0637…8e23backed Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed No41c1,255$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.6814835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No42c1,230$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.016253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No64c1,205$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.047425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes62c1,126$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Yes48c1,051$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed No63c1,045$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.097416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe129…b549backed Yes48c999.9$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa03…2927backed Yes29c997.06$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+195.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed No65c919.59$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.593327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No37c888$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8810235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf383…c49fbacked Yes64c868.64$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.39234.3%1 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick26cpaid-92.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No52c837.47$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1910630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa90…2108backed Yes24c818.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No63c799.95$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.985139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No54c797.17$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.276339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No65c784$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.48737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes43c752.88$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.24831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No54c686.46$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.94746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed No69c667.62$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.762867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No44c602.98$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.725349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes10c601.13$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.675131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No57c553.95$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.143221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+187.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes46c551.33$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No24c534.98$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.297740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf936…59afbacked Yes38c522.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1efe…4872backed No64c499.98$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb09c…fe97backed Yes37c440.87$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes37c438.61$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.67100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbe…088dbacked No40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No70c377.25$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.323737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No56c368.19$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.653348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc773…1a6abacked Yes29c361.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…4940backed No75c348.34$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.771662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+114%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x831b…6645backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebdc…bf08backed Yes45c330$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d56…e09ebacked Yes41c317.64$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed No58c302.82$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.827139.4%28 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8dd…9b5abacked No65c300$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.54148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c5…923dbacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.71229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-62.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed No35c285.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.571816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+323%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d3…e6f7backed Yes37c271.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8f…d72ebacked Yes37c270.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes51c262.9$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.748234.1%28 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed Yes69c252.41$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.93135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes69c250$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa440…a487backed No42c243.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.493935.9%14 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x340b…cdf2backed Yes33c243.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No38c236.33$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.415251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe136…82e8backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+105.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x246a…19b8backed Yes67c231.23$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.632330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes45c229.84$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.56926.1%18 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed No49c224.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.917626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x569d…d2bfbacked Yes45c222.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd418…f8e0backed Yes45c220.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06af…3741backed Yes11c220$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+47.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5835…6410backed Yes67c219.52$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3e…3b79backed Yes29c210.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.66922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca2…882ebacked Yes31c203.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…bc56backed Yes49c202.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545b…226bbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543625%9 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked No64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fb…72cdbacked No63c199.19$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.982875%21 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+53.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf875…814dbacked Yes62c190$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-60.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3a…056fbacked Yes43c189.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e12…8fe1backed Yes10c187.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x523a…8e28backed Yes49c182.61$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.48214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-92.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe970…4e6ebacked Yes27c180.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No28c179.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.915554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No52c155.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.647121.1%15 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes28c150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.515119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64fb…e81cbacked Yes36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+138.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes36c149.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed No55c146.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.33345.5%15 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed No72c139$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No53c136.39$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.347234.7%25 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c9…ca41backed Yes47c135.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.26110%0 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed Yes28c126.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.83831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.