Music · resolved market
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0894d06e891709f3cd673f9ea8137ab51af268322265766f8bd6d647aa41cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 5c | 48,490$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 22c | 11,291$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.61 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 78c | 10,329$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 4c | 4,689$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…bbd0backed No | 3c | 4,480$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 19c | 3,542$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.3 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 15c | 3,225$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.67 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 20c | 1,952$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.41 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 9c | 1,659$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 20c | 1,626$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 21c | 1,411$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 18c | 1,400$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 17c | 1,334$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.08 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 3c | 1,278$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed No | 18c | 1,237$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 77c | 1,158$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…2867backed Yes | 77c | 1,093$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed No | 22c | 1,067$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 77c | 1,063$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…818abacked Yes | 77c | 1,040$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked No | 23c | 1,012$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked No | 23c | 978$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked No | 23c | 973$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…f7a5backed No | 23c | 905$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 78c | 867$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 75c | 865$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed No | 25c | 865$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 78c | 863$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked No | 13c | 763.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked No | 22c | 728$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 78c | 711.82$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 77c | 678$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 77c | 671$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes | 79c | 620$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 77c | 605$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 75c | 519.97$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed No | 19c | 518.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 17c | 490.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 54c | 438.08$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.23 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 16c | 400.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 18c | 362$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 19c | 357.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 26c | 355.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 6c | 354$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +320%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed No | 23c | 337$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…8c4cbacked No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 22c | 329.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…3e11backed No | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…5ee3backed No | 4c | 256.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 76c | 248.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 15c | 225.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…ea05backed No | 5c | 204.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 21c | 170.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 21c | 166.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 21c | 159.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…b94abacked No | 40c | 125.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 20c | 102.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…8b5bbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 14c | 99.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 75c | 97.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 72c | 94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 23c | 77.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…9a8abacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 16c | 74.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 73.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…4616backed No | 24c | 65.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +333.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…cd5cbacked Yes | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 17c | 64.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…573dbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9189…c733backed Yes | 77c | 62.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a180backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.47per pick | 58cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 23c | 46.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…c524backed Yes | 79c | 42.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d09…71ffbacked Yes | 80c | 37.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…f13bbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…267abacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…74bdbacked Yes | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.