TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes28c21,607$6,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,060.236144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes12c13,000$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c12,825$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.33323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6f…9b55backed Yes31c8,069$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…8d45backed No73c6,928$5,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed No75c4,789$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.692867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No71c4,251$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.794531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No71c3,364$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.447425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No71c2,560$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.063525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-58.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No67c2,201$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.426334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes27c2,138$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.0914315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be5…567bbacked No74c2,019$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…6043backed Yes36c1,946$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed Yes31c1,771$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe7b…974fbacked Yes34c1,687$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.29120%0 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed No68c1,593$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No63c1,571$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.9110630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes30c1,450$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.083625%9 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecde…c846backed Yes29c1,389$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.195030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…ab26backed Yes28c1,364$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.760%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No71c1,040$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5412835.9%46 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No77c1,036$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.216642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed Yes25c993.88$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.471369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed No69c954$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes26c919.06$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.583221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+187.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No74c840.18$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.765251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f8…6c22backed No69c817$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No72c810.93$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23119939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes32c797$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.041764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+69.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed Yes32c796$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No71c749.65$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.015743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7131…b3a6backed No68c681.25$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.531741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick68cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3875…8fd3backed No74c671.11$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No70c655.39$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.585554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc2c…a49cbacked Yes30c589.05$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick15cpaid+752.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No68c578.07$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5422927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes12c505.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.273348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No74c500$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1283737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…4940backed No67c458.58$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.331662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+114%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c456.14$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.397740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked No72c415.12$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.341752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+127.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No72c409.13$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.76339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed No75c397.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.387139.4%28 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3779…f61cbacked No51c390$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes24c387.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.057626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes26c366$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.94468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid+96.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc1…b2b3backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes19c332.87$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.151030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f51…8b09backed Yes31c324.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No73c319.9$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.573256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed No54c318.92$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.75100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+157.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No71c316.62$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.963751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed No73c316.61$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.987416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed No43c311.75$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.714835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ad8…cd62backed No69c302.03$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.572437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.342839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No75c297.4$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.656253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3f…8728backed Yes33c290.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes31c260.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.777549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6964…3954backed Yes31c244.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.69825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No76c242$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.378739.1%34 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes28c231.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.691241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed No77c228.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.43345.5%15 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa678…7660backed No79c201.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1efe…4872backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x538f…9566backed No78c198.38$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…8397backed No78c193.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd248…3b0dbacked No79c189.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes33c185$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.052634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e7…b0f7backed No70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No59c171.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e22…19cebacked No75c167.2$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.154100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No76c163.71$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.257343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c4…1b71backed Yes31c163.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No67c151$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.464654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes29c148$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.584629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes27c147.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.926544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No64c147.17$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe86b…9371backed No77c142.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes18c140.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5210529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b9…66acbacked No68c139.65$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.651643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6071…fab9backed No73c137.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b6…f63dbacked Yes30c131.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.04333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes24c129.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.766926.1%18 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes31c124.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.056710.4%7 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd7f…35c1backed Yes33c120.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-61.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No73c120.37$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked Yes28c115$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked No70c112.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes34c111$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.464042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No76c110$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.557234.7%25 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed No72c106$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.682250%11 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+130.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7ab…8a17backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ad…f1dfbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.