Music · resolved market
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc825c71086a3925bbe3a0ede2869ed30a9917c241be1a051ac62550250c67f9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 35c | 12,978$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 11,325$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 66c | 7,701$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.44 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed Yes | 63c | 6,429$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.38 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 32c | 5,453$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.76 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 33c | 5,393$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.92 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 65c | 5,244$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.07 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 33c | 5,029$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.28 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 66c | 4,668$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.39 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 65c | 3,600$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.95 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 65c | 3,466$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.14 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 34c | 3,040$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.42 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 34c | 2,817$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.28 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 67c | 2,775$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.71 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 66c | 2,671$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 33c | 2,664$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.03 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 69c | 2,043$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.71 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 32c | 1,956$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 35c | 1,935$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.65 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,914$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.78 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 1,863$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.53 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 37c | 1,836$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 40c | 1,747$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 34c | 1,528$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Yes | 64c | 1,507$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 33c | 1,499$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.55 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Yes | 73c | 1,441$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 35c | 1,402$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.91 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 36c | 1,371$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.83 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 32c | 1,328$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.32 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 36c | 1,304$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed No | 36c | 1,278$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 36c | 1,250$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +290.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaf…20c0backed Yes | 60c | 1,132$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 33c | 1,051$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.52 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 35c | 973.84$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.7 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 31c | 953.69$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…d8a3backed Yes | 65c | 927.24$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes | 63c | 917.45$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.84 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 43c | 866$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 64c | 864$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed Yes | 64c | 861$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 64c | 857$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 67c | 851.95$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.23 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…b5fdbacked Yes | 67c | 817.72$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 33c | 706.58$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.86 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 65c | 700$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked Yes | 66c | 658.42$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…61dfbacked Yes | 66c | 622.31$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…5122backed Yes | 60c | 608$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 66c | 606.99$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 60c | 577$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 60c | 562$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 33c | 558.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 29c | 545.65$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 64c | 507.54$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 34c | 504.46$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.61 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 68c | 499.99$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 32c | 490.66$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…504fbacked Yes | 66c | 444.11$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 68c | 427.76$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 32c | 400.03$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked No | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 57c | 367$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 366.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked No | 57c | 359$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 70c | 354.15$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 30c | 332.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…8360backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 68c | 314.83$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes | 67c | 314.45$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 32c | 307.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 67c | 305.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 66c | 300$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 35c | 283.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 35c | 275.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 62c | 274.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…252ebacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 64c | 261.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 33c | 257$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed No | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…2e87backed Yes | 70c | 243.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 65c | 234.28$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…84f3backed Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 32c | 211.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed No | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 47c | 203.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…8728backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 68c | 199.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.