TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28ab…2048

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
555
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst Stocks at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT13531.9%43 W · 92 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$13.85
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+106%+$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$15.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$31.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.39
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$42.17
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$90.73
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$20.55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.98
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT9054.4%49 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$6.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$45.58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102.26
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.07
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$58.17
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$104.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96%+$227.75
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$173.94
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.4
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.27
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT8747.1%41 W · 46 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+197.6%+$31.77
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$40.65
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$10.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$10.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$245.83
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$199.63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.62
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.07
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$132.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Stocks — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google dip to $270 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will Apple dip to $240 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Will Tesla reach $420 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.74
Will Amazon dip to $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will Meta reach $730 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$214.43
Will Palantir dip to $114 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$132.23
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple reach $272 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Will Apple reach $264 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will Meta reach $660 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 6 above $380?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.92
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $185?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.75
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.24
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 6 above $610?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.13
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 6 above $151?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$406.05
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 6 above $365?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$62.54
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 6 above $350?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Amazon reach $232 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Amazon reach $224 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Will Google reach $320 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+474.6%+$47.51
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$13.19
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$200.41
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$2.86
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$17.42
AWS service disrupted by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.12
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.98
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.74
VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$227.35
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$166.95
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.96
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$65.25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$123.18
Will OpenAI have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.73
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.32
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.32
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Tricia Pridemore be the Republican nominee for GA-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.51
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.22
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.8
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$14.36
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.47
Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$6.63
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.29
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$19.47
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$8.13
Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.07
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$136.03
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$140.35
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.63
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$7.92
Will James Kingston be the Republican nominee for GA-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have a #1 hit in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.78
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$94
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.04
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.02
Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.76
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.99
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$52.38
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$102.12
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Will Justin Bieber play "Baby" first at Coachella?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$11.34
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will "Bully - Kanye West" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$23.53
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.81
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.38
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+318.3%+$64.75
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.03
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Enrique Valderrama finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$5.09
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$52.21
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.09
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.9
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.34
Will GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.34
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.22
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.11
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 25 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.8
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Officebacked Michael · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.63
Will "Mother Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.47
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.15
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15m and $16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.55
Will "Anaconda" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.98
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.68
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$25.39
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$23.18
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$170.4
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$76.97
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$15.61
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.65
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$101.2
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.02
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.