Movies · resolved market
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc55bd4436e52c979490cf9bbe1dfb3cdda1cdf0b3a4aa711c1ea65da9e8ef4ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michaelof The Devil Wears Prada 2, Michael
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 12c | 5,768$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.32 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…3349backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 0c | 4,029$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 25c | 2,498$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.03 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 4c | 1,588$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0f…f799backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 1c | 1,486$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Michael | 26c | 1,356$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.73 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 4c | 1,319$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 72c | 1,222$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c2…f1d3backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 10c | 1,062$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…50debacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 4c | 990.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 3c | 955.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 11c | 911$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b81…b08abacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 6c | 885.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 22c | 866.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 31c | 835.87$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bc21backed Michael | 71c | 725.15$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1665…e651backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 47c | 626.74$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 5c | 492.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…1e9bbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 6c | 418.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…ae38backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 8c | 399.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…399ebacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Michael | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 28c | 243.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…c8f6backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 13c | 210.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…bdaebacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 8c | 175.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 63c | 164.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…3a21backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 10c | 159.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…8dbbbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 31c | 150.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 11c | 148.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20d…769abacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 8c | 147.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 59c | 145.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 28c | 143.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…d958backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 16c | 143.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Michael | 24c | 138.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Michael | 79c | 134.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 26c | 133.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 25c | 131.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6716…95cdbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 12c | 121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…5ad4backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 9c | 115.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6895backed Michael | 63c | 110.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…5f37backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 12c | 105.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 14c | 101.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe18b…fdf2backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c86ebacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…8d7ebacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b5…dce2backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 46c | 94.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 11c | 94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 29c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…7824backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 22c | 68.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Michael | 73c | 65.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…aa32backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 26c | 54.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…cf85backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…a252backed Michael | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…ed1cbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…cf15backed Michael | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…9941backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…11f9backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed9a…3efbbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…d66fbacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f76ebacked Michael | 54c | 47.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…5cd9backed Michael | 70c | 42.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed Michael | 80c | 41.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked Michael | 78c | 39.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…d418backed Michael | 69c | 38.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Michael | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Michael | 39c | 35.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…82d8backed Michael | 57c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Michael | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Michael | 63c | 28.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Michael | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…e9adbacked Michael | 68c | 26.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…d9cfbacked Michael | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ca…18ccbacked Michael | 70c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…8569backed The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 78c | 18.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.