TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa86f…022c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
809
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT39768.8%273 W · 124 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 397 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Showing 25 of 397 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.72
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$16.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.58
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+367.3%+$78.6
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$26.5
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$62.1
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+45%+$37.25
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.66
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$6.46
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$16
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$29.74
Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.04
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.88
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.22
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,189.13
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.63
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$20.6
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kanebacked Mbappe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.45
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$28.5
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$26.7
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.63
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.85
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$12.95
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$10.9
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$51.75
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$16.38
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.46
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.25
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Officebacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$30.14
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$37.3
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Laso Finance FDV above $8M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.25
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+50%+$50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.91
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$8.76
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.6
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54.4
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.67
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$58.8
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+199.4%+$85.61
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$178
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+628.5%+$424.76
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.88
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$77
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.47
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.8
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.31
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.09
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$71.01
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.58
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.73
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.86
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $22.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+141%+$23.4
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31%+$11.83
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.22
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$10.83
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$44.7
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.42
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.3
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+983.7%+$771.57
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+48.4%+$13.04
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.15
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$121.22
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$635.93
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$162.42
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$129
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.49
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Max McGreevy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Jeremy Paul finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Kevin Roy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Taylor Pendrith finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Taylor Moore finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 ISCO Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will Lucas Glover win the 2026 ISCO Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$6.42
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.99
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$13.1
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.43
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.29
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 2 above $137?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Amazon reach $216 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 23 above $405?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Meta (META) finish week of February 23 above $650?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$11.49
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-55.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-73.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+345.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$55.7
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ben Rice advance to the semifinals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$8.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.