Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7628d43f0cd0e94ef4e0513c14d790c3e9ff54f078cfe517d8c19eaa900e82b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $510,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed8e…fea3backed No | 0c | 23,584$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…2184backed No | 0c | 20,168$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 4c | 18,217$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 16c | 17,299$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.23 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…7a6fbacked No | 0c | 17,171$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…5997backed No | 42c | 11,858$5,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…90fcbacked No | 1c | 10,940$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 10,414$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4586…c4bebacked No | 38c | 9,741$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 59c | 9,476$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7e…c9aabacked No | 0c | 9,150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed No | 1c | 8,750$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 62c | 8,588$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…c96bbacked No | 0c | 7,869$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 65c | 7,453$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.32 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 7,393$5,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.23 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…5d03backed No | 22c | 6,725$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…6482backed Yes | 76c | 5,180$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 32c | 4,526$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.11 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…37d6backed Yes | 8c | 4,444$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 70c | 3,977$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.07 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 3,144$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.64 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 8c | 2,939$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 65c | 2,640$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.59 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 0c | 2,578$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2963…10f3backed No | 4c | 2,518$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…6cd5backed No | 23c | 2,511$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 29c | 2,328$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.24 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 48c | 2,185$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.84 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…6331backed No | 1c | 2,144$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,052$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 19c | 2,000$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…b975backed Yes | 79c | 1,890$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 64c | 1,857$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…6baebacked No | 5c | 1,856$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked Yes | 78c | 1,817$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 65c | 1,806$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,739$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed No | 14c | 1,527$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked No | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 2c | 1,494$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…f1e1backed No | 50c | 1,468$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc842…922ebacked No | 4c | 1,307$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 24c | 1,276$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…61f1backed No | 6c | 1,254$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 8c | 1,250$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 52c | 1,223$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…ac7fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,165$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,123$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 57c | 1,072$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.02 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 2c | 1,060$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 72c | 1,032$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.02 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…2ddcbacked No | 23c | 1,010$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 66c | 999.99$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…de88backed No | 22c | 991.45$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 8c | 950.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked No | 22c | 949.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f0…2de6backed No | 4c | 907.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4637…599abacked Yes | 6c | 890.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,680.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…5ad5backed No | 3c | 848.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…7ae7backed No | 13c | 819.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 35c | 814.78$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.55 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 53c | 804.63$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 25c | 798.94$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 12c | 777.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…22e1backed No | 19c | 751$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 77c | 740.75$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4817…6bdbbacked No | 28c | 734.42$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…5b3abacked Yes | 77c | 698.06$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…a1a1backed No | 50c | 686.08$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e797backed No | 20c | 649.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Yes | 77c | 649.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 26c | 647.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…1ca3backed No | 16c | 636.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…51fbbacked No | 23c | 627.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked No | 19c | 622.26$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 39c | 615.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed No | 25c | 608.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…9a77backed No | 20c | 600$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked Yes | 20c | 599.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…0955backed No | 19c | 581.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 10c | 580.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…4d58backed No | 40c | 579.04$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5c…657ebacked Yes | 68c | 569.25$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed No | 11c | 565.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…0a3dbacked No | 6c | 562.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed No | 10c | 523.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 64c | 515.56$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0abf…3d36backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed Yes | 48c | 500$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 77c | 499.98$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…199abacked No | 21c | 469.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 55c | 452.5$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +463.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…54babacked No | 21c | 449.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked No | 39c | 444.6$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 74c | 443.96$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3052…eb58backed No | 23c | 441.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.