TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x521b…db60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+67.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Franz Wagner win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.89
Will Alperen Şengün win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+83.3%+$281.14
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$33.05
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$65.71
Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Euro Basket: Greece vs Israelbacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$40.5
Euro Basket: France vs Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Euro Basket: Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovinabacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$136.5
Euro Basket: Finland vs Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Euro Basket: Finland vs Germanybacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Euro Basket: Israel vs Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$400
Euro Basket: Estonia vs Portugalbacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$165
Euro Basket: Italy vs Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.99
Euro Basket: Israel vs Francebacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+900%+$899.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$344.78
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.18
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,026.38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$75.63
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$98
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+77%+$25.58
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$26.68
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$42.37
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$1,977.99
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.96
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$134
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$987.84
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$28
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$125
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.49
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.01
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,665Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$1,942.79
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.98
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$92.83
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+233.3%+$457.3
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.6%+$72.18
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.5%+$147.65
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$194.4
Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$59.81
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+51.1%+$646.47
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+162.9%+$161.63
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+173%+$109.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+975.3%+$1,111.81
Will Sean Sweeney be the next head coach of the Dallas Mavericks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$84
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.44
Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.85
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220.98
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+140.8%+$1,870.92
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,532.62
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$693.35
Will Jimmy Butler stay with the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29.39
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$130.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-69.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,803.85
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,847.58
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,651.11
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$7,158.49
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$2,037
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28,634Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+52.5%+$15,038.06
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$328.07
Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$80
All 10 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+183.7%+$194.83
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$68.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump post about a memecoin before election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+32.9%+$140.61
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,387.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+280.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+280.3%+$476.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$8,279.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magny vs. Pratesbacked Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+28.2%+$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.