Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Israel vs France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9757c8f46d74ff72b4d4dacc5855b4810305a153d2ad4ced4b5f3e45281e38b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Israelof Israel, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed France | 36c | 4,638$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed France | 47c | 1,710$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Israel | 18c | 1,161$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed France | 75c | 1,007$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Israel | 10c | 1,000$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.63 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Israel | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Israel | 10c | 893.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.9 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Israel | 12c | 724.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Israel | 21c | 494$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Israel | 10c | 468.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Israel | 65c | 465$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed France | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Israel | 15c | 280$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Israel | 9c | 276.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.71 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Israel | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9213…1431backed Israel | 19c | 103.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +169.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Israel | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked France | 51c | 65.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.