TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5dd…7564

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Space at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$83.7
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.25
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$45.56
US Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+75.6%+$365.92
US Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Jiri Leheckabacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.6
US Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex de Minaurbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
US Open: Elena Rybakina vs Emma Raducanubacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$148.08
US Open: Lloyd Harris vs Taylor Fritzbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.47
US Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruudbacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+300%+$47.25
US Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tomas Machacbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.66
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.6
US Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito Nishiokabacked Nishioka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+400%+$47.7
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$139.01
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.22
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.89
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.58
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.11
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.17
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Mensikbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$11.94
Wimbledon: Borges vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$53.78
Wimbledon: Bellucci vs. Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.05
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.75
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+130.4%+$243.4
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.76
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.77
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$52.2
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+153.2%+$168.19
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.85
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.64
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+213.3%+$46.98
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.41
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$117.05
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$159.6
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.79
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
PSG vs. Bayern Munich: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$43.5
Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.38
Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.8
Dortmund vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$93.99
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$96.5
Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+65%+$168.16
PSG vs. Inter Miami: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$57.95
Benfica vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$50.16
Will Mamelodi beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.84
Will Fluminense beat Mamelodi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.73
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.38
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+195.9%+$188.42
Will Trump say "Autopen" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+368.1%+$202.76
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$258.72
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.11
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.7
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+71.1%+$29.86
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$57
Will Trump say "George Washington" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$16.99
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+55.5%+$74.11
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$26.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$30.82
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grimsby Town F.C beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$102.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.36
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$57.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$34.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Knee" 5+ times during Patriots vs Bills game? (October 5)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$512.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.