Us Politics · resolved market
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d9b555204ef71da9ba11d00093af1366f310125da78aea60eaca6aee333a76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 50c | 6,060$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.33 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,729$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.24 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 5,683$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.13 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 62c | 5,232$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.94 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 42c | 4,922$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.53 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked No | 54c | 4,640$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed No | 47c | 4,178$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 39c | 3,927$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 3,807$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…a0efbacked Yes | 67c | 3,780$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.66 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 22c | 3,593$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…59e0backed No | 37c | 3,368$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 67c | 3,181$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.6 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…fea3backed No | 12c | 3,166$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 28c | 2,937$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf210…e8bdbacked No | 41c | 2,888$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 16c | 2,855$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 21c | 2,807$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…549bbacked No | 22c | 2,679$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 53c | 2,587$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.81 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,367$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.69 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,345$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.89 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…1248backed No | 28c | 2,314$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 2,274$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 39c | 2,193$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.29 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 34c | 2,020$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.2 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 35c | 1,818$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.95 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 69c | 1,798$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.43 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 59c | 1,770$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,769$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 41c | 1,727$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.4 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 64c | 1,569$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 32c | 1,398$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.18 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 56c | 1,386$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.16 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,356$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.57 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 12c | 1,350$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 1c | 1,303$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 74c | 1,268$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.94 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked No | 59c | 1,013$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 64c | 957.37$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.56 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 35c | 902.92$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.33 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…d1bdbacked Yes | 79c | 900.64$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 27c | 900$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…9cd8backed No | 44c | 894.62$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed No | 41c | 890.37$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 51c | 876$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 38c | 870.81$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 58c | 865.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…cb3dbacked No | 48c | 811.71$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 11c | 799.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 45c | 786.87$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed No | 43c | 776.67$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 52c | 741.03$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.77 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 46c | 713.6$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 30c | 680.04$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.16 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 56c | 672.04$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.54 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 36c | 666$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 69c | 665.38$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.85 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…c072backed No | 57c | 638.78$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 24c | 621.57$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 35c | 573.56$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.34 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e2e4backed No | 16c | 562.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 75c | 549.13$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.24 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 37c | 542.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.82 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 67c | 539.93$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.12 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 27c | 535.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.95 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…903cbacked Yes | 71c | 520.6$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked No | 24c | 496.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.83 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…57cbbacked Yes | 68c | 480.87$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 57c | 477.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed No | 44c | 462$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 66c | 412$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.34 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…7a2fbacked No | 25c | 401.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 44c | 399.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…03b1backed No | 67c | 395.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…1acebacked No | 36c | 394.14$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 41c | 369.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.69 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked Yes | 71c | 369.67$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.11 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…0a33backed No | 57c | 315.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 314.09$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 5c | 312.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 69c | 308.27$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 29c | 304.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2948…788abacked No | 13c | 300$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +294.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 40c | 299.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…0476backed No | 76c | 299.6$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 41c | 295.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 295.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 34c | 292.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed Yes | 69c | 287.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…b1a8backed No | 73c | 274.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.