TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08ec…b5fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
232
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.22
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+153.9%+$28.34
Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.88
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.23
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.54
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.52
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.5%+$11.4
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+56.7%+$27.96
Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$57.43
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Elon register the America Party before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.71
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+200%+$30
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.32
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.61
Harvard international students ban ended before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$57.66
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$261.11
Trump x Elon talk before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$7.81
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.35
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$40.51
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$4.45
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.96
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.5%+$41.35
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.4%+$100.56
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50.62
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.2%+$83.57
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$10.8
Palmer Luckey Erebor Bank chartered in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.05
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+291.4%+$31.36
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+124.2%+$90.23
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.84
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.67
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.67
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$84.07
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+108.1%+$81.16
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.85
OpenAI browser in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$18
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$9.5
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$15.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$381.64
Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.65
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$20.09
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.01
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$51.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.39
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+165%+$123.91
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.86
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+57.6%+$59.17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$65.65
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.07
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+119.3%+$54.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 82-83°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$15.74
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+259%+$38.96
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.45
All 20 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.4%+$11.21
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$96.2
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+77.9%+$31.52
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+45.9%+$42.71
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+196.6%+$92.8
Will Mercedes have the 2nd highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+64.4%+$37
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.44
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$365.53
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$165.78
Will Oscar Piastri finish in 2nd place at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
F1 British Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$5.82
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$32.65
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.7
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$35.1
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$158.91
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$116.06
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+210.6%+$67.8
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$90.74
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.5%+$22.5
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$66.82
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.05
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$29.2
Bolsonaro guilty?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+95.6%+$94.83
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the July meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.25
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$104.71
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+180.8%+$61.3
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.05
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.21
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.32
Israel x Syria security deal before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+89.5%+$118.26
Israel strikes Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.89
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.98
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.37
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$28
Israel strikes Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$81.93
Houthi strike on Israel before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$411.49
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$24.19
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+31%+$125.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$18.38
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.5%+$12.3
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+175.5%+$68.85
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.57
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$55.42
Will Solana reach $180 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.18
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+70.8%+$56.6
Will XRP reach $2.6 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$104.67
Bitcoin all time high before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.44
Bitcoin all time high before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$19.96
Will XRP reach $2.4 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$46.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.5%+$32.84
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55.71
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+39.1%+$39.31
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$29.75
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.75
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.57
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$83.01
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.63
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$37.2
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.84
Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$66.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a club from France win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+72.3%+$66.75
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.67
Will Gonzalo García be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will a club from Spain win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.75
Will Real Madrid beat PSG in Regulation Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$7.55
Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.18
Will PSG beat Bayern Munich in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.92
Will Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$40.8
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.9
Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$34
Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$14.05
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+32.5%+$48.95
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+83%+$113.37
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+35.4%+$14.37
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.37
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+47.7%+$454.34
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$149.02
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+29%+$221.29
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$46.29
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$407.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30.02
Will India win the match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami beat New England Revolution?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico beat USA in Regulation Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.