MLB · resolved market
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a17266c1565a4ce589effd8c50eb4a6b33d6fcdedb287fae457fc62be74651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a31…f46cbacked Yes | 44c | 40,034$17,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,614.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…918ebacked No | 56c | 40,034$22,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,614.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…7214backed Yes | 46c | 38,799$17,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,847.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…8358backed No | 54c | 38,799$20,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,847.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…e725backed Yes | 58c | 38,526$22,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,345.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…9bc5backed No | 42c | 38,526$16,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,345.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…111cbacked No | 51c | 37,102$18,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,179.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf426…e665backed Yes | 49c | 37,102$18,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,179.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4e…7c57backed No | 49c | 35,244$17,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,974.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…054cbacked Yes | 51c | 35,244$17,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,974.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…71b2backed No | 53c | 32,014$16,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,046.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…64aabacked Yes | 47c | 32,014$15,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,046.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…4ae3backed Yes | 58c | 28,822$16,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,716.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…f30bbacked No | 42c | 28,822$12,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,716.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…9454backed No | 54c | 27,205$14,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,514.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…8b32backed Yes | 46c | 27,205$12,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,514.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…c16abacked No | 51c | 21,312$10,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,442.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…166bbacked Yes | 49c | 21,312$10,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,442.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 11,084$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.71 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 39c | 7,828$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 38c | 4,684$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.3 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…2182backed Yes | 32c | 3,576$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 71c | 3,055$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.1 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 49c | 2,520$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.86 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,382$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.56 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Yes | 51c | 1,944$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,628$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.25 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,551$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 52c | 1,479$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.75 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 49c | 1,046$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.54 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 29c | 1,034$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.8 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 54c | 911.01$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 40c | 770$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 22c | 599.52$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.2 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 51c | 592.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.55 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked No | 60c | 492.08$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 77c | 453.26$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Yes | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 58c | 329.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +298.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…f4b5backed Yes | 56c | 303.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 40c | 302.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 55c | 286.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 54c | 279.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 62c | 275.38$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 265.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 50c | 248.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 38c | 188.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…0aa8backed Yes | 38c | 184.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…d9bcbacked No | 53c | 175.22$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Yes | 34c | 169.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 39c | 160$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…96d1backed No | 34c | 147.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…d395backed Yes | 14c | 146.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…baacbacked Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 37c | 132.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 61c | 131.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed No | 59c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 44c | 117.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 52c | 114.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 40c | 110.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 18c | 108.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 35c | 82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 22c | 79.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 47c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…09a5backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 38c | 59.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 55c | 48.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0930…5d66backed No | 79c | 40.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 40c | 39.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 43c | 32.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 61c | 32.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 31.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Yes | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafa9…8cdfbacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 56c | 20.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052d…f67dbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f7…dd40backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…1b6ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…e6b0backed No | 63c | 16.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…6252backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +160.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 78c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?this page
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the AL East Division?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the AL East Division?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the AL East Division?No won
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the AL East Division?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.