TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x912a…0f92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
914
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST18516.2%30 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 185 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.76
Will Elon and DOGE cut 50-100k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.42
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.21
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.52
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.8
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.16
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.41
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.47
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.17
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.84
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.68
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.36
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.11
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.28
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.38
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.02
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+594.3%+$75.56
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+947.8%+$197.28
Showing 25 of 185 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1235.7%7 W · 116 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-83.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
Iran nuclear test in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.36
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.66
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.99
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.14
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.11
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$6.27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.76
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.82
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.08
Israel withdraws from Syria before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.75
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.65
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.69
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.54
Israel x Syria security deal before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.07
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+148.5%+$23.25
Israel strikes Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.79
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.24
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.02
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.91
US strikes Yemen by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.63
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT1215%6 W · 115 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$6.16
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.03
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.05
Megaquake before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+1,755%+$1,372.38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+301.6%+$33.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.61
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or higher on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 95-96°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 67°F or below on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 81°F or higher on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.37
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.82
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 91-92°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 89-90°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.55
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT8514.1%12 W · 73 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 1500 or more times September 1–30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17.03
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$22.36
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$56.61
Will Elon Musk tweet more August 20 than day before?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$6.12
Will Elon Musk tweet more August 18 than day before?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will Elon Musk tweet more August 14 than day before?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$15.05
Will Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.93
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.61
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+1,862.8%+$313.17
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.51
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.89
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.29
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.91
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.06
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.22
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.27
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.67
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.69
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.23
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.34
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.41
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.42
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4320.9%9 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.63
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.77
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.65
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.82
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+317.3%+$63.29
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.83
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+102.3%+$11.8
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.19
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.01
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$17.09
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$19.55
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$4.56
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.06
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.62
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$5.28
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will APB Súmate win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will MAS-IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.52
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST4226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+166.7%+$18.75
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+291.5%+$44.67
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
GPT ads by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.73
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+386.3%+$39.87
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.82
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.54
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+107.3%+$13.38
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+139.1%+$23.48
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.98
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$4.58
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.61
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$4.78
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $390b on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$7.15
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+124.9%+$139.49
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4037.5%15 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.44
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.9%+$8.28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.5%+$12.19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.74
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$3.41
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+52%+$6.99
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$5.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$5.8
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+145.1%+$31.65
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$27.03
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13.03
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.45
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+133.3%+$64.84
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.55
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+127.1%+$19.88
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.77
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.51
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+128.2%+$27.34
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$38.2
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.25
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3773%27 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.62
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.29
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.99
Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$36.46
Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$84.45
Will Solana dip to $165 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$3.71
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$5.99
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$6.26
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$7.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Solana reach $270 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$7.41
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+30%+$7.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+42.1%+$9.63
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.9
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$8.19
Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$9.11
Will Solana reach $225 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$4.48
Will Solana reach $220 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$5.72
Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$7.28
Bitcoin above $108K on September 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.11
Bitcoin above $110K on September 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$3.72
Solana reach 225 September 1–7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.86
Will Ethereum reach $4600 September 1–7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$5.37
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST3713.5%5 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+134.2%+$72.2
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.07
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.7%+$7.84
Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.45
"Caught Stealing" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80 and 84?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $2m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $1.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3-3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.9
"Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–89%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.93
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+382.5%+$123.7
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+211.9%+$115.44
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23m and $26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.51
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20m and $23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.78
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.98
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.31
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.84
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.22
"Happy Gilmore 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 40?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.23
"Happy Gilmore 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50–59?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.08
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-75.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+164.4%+$48.57
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.54
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.3%+$11.56
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.18
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.11
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.18
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.7
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.96
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.52
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.65
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.56
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.88
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$4.46
Fed rate cut by December meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.89
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.8
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.4
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.43
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.2
Will one person dissent the Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.61
Will no one dissent the Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.16
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.14
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.46
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$73.18
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+243.8%+$70.2
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+197.2%+$30.46
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.7
F1 Hungarian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll backed Stroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Norris backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.55
F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastri backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.34
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.06
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.52
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.72
F1 Belgian GP: Albon vs. Sainz backed Sainz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.15
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.97
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+425.2%+$114.59
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-78.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.92
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+56.7%+$7.6
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.96
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.86
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$149.32
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$68.77
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$163.91
Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.07
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+200.5%+$29.37
Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.49
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.39
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.86
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.89
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.24
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.33
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.53
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.11
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.63
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterlingbacked Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$5.01
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.58
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
UFC: Bouafia vs. Santanabacked Bouafia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.01
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.62
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornollebacked Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejosbacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.96
UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. Fletcherbacked Fletcher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.21
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.81
UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriaultbacked Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.73
UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. Ochoabacked Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.03
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. Lealbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+393%+$111.7
UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. Blackshearbacked Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+408.5%+$48.25
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+517.9%+$93.92
UFC 318: Gautier vs. Valentinbacked Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-89.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.71
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo join a new team this offseason?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.45
Will LeBron James join a new team this offseason?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.51
Will LeBron James be traded this offseason?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.43
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.41
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.68
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.29
NBA Finals: Thunder to win game 4 and the series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.39
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.69
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.91
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.28
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.89
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.37
Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.52
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.36
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+104.9%+$13.06
Will Drake release an album by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.81
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+145.6%+$24.01
Will Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.28
Diddy guilty of all charges?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.86
Diddy convicted of a felony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.2
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$6.58
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$11.73
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+190.5%+$19.67
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+118.8%+$27.15
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.03
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.43
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+498.1%+$75.9
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+168.1%+$18.54
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$4.98
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$3.5
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.51
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will the New York Mets make the 2025 MLB playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+136.6%+$28.58
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$3.09
Will Oneil Cruz win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.83
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-59.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.62
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.01
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+69.2%+$11.04
Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.79
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.91
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+97.6%+$12.21
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-61.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick23cpaid+344.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Vancouver beat Houston?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+344.4%+$38.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.1%+$41.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.