TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $270 in September?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$640,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$637,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x13cb…a48abacked Yes1c43,832$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.139913.1%13 W · 86 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes27c38,389$10,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,442.5263835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes24c36,421$8,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,869.0929126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes21c33,798$6,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,963.0425824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd2…d91ebacked No78c28,499$22,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,305.633060%18 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b98…df12backed No79c28,009$22,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,763.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3eb…8d3ebacked No79c24,999$19,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.841080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes23c20,458$4,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,668.6422216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes1c17,124$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.092270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes8c12,707$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.1518425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a9…677ebacked Yes1c10,577$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…531ebacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%0 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f8…9f03backed No68c8,460$5,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.321850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5637…1a14backed No72c8,324$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb14e…f64cbacked No62c7,772$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3694…4fd6backed No70c7,598$5,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes23c7,373$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.4532524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes1c7,324$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.39659.2%6 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c6,896$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.081,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…aee4backed Yes1c6,861$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes24c6,447$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5302123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked No69c5,222$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.92470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…1c4bbacked Yes1c5,222$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No70c4,775$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.873215.6%5 W · 27 L-8.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-77.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked No54c4,499$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes30c4,327$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.7324654.9%135 W · 111 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No66c4,286$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.939054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes26c4,178$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.8715023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.96950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No77c3,820$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.9613863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ab…a546backed Yes4c3,810$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9770%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes25c3,326$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.6737745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fbd…fe0bbacked Yes56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68090%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302085%17 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No71c2,996$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.352975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes33c2,985$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes30c2,968$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.63402.5%1 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick17cpaid-96.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0556…b36abacked Yes3c2,605$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.03362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-86%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No55c2,564$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.143164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda14…a40cbacked No79c2,481$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.033237.5%12 W · 20 L-11.2wins-0.35per pick72cpaid-50.3%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0xd1dd…a272backed Yes24c2,365$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.911726.5%31 W · 86 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No67c2,304$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes31c2,101$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.0913561.5%83 W · 52 L+16.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed No74c2,046$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.084759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe758…c90ebacked No79c2,023$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.311471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0856…a569backed No73c2,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked No78c1,926$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.63875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa553…6236backed No57c1,753$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes21c1,620$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.112222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes29c1,615$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.587652.6%40 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7923…4460backed Yes5c1,596$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.84520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe93b…ac2ebacked No73c1,516$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39014075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc87…2765backed No53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No59c1,500$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.893455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed No58c1,464$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.823284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.9wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+59.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed No46c1,425$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.54839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f1…bc37backed No72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked Yes10c1,255$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9813038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef6d…9bd2backed No56c1,124$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed Yes54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed No74c1,078$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.31070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes4c1,040$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.811165.2%6 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce69…3e08backed No55c1,030$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.551050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb49…a376backed Yes24c900$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked No78c850.47$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d40…28e9backed No57c745.83$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.545058%29 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ea…7fc0backed Yes30c686.87$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.73520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-61.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…7bcbbacked Yes13c682.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.91425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked No69c671.9$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes1c669.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106041.7%25 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa10a…28b1backed Yes2c666.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5426…1339backed Yes24c620$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150290%0 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed No69c600$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1885971.2%42 W · 17 L+11.1wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5a0a…10edbacked Yes5c577.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked Yes28c564.57$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0815754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4512736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed No79c542.42$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.031361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick73cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6995…99f9backed No80c520$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.23281.3%26 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2598…7b76backed Yes11c501.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+93.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63be…2c64backed No52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick42cpaid-82.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8ae0…237cbacked No76c483.32$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38e…397bbacked Yes28c454.35$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes3c443$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.191414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes30c385.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.55554.5%30 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160f…3539backed No78c381.64$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.641154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4354…b65bbacked No67c350$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.55100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ae…be5abacked Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a58…3464backed No72c339.87$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x562e…4956backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No73c300$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804949%24 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x821c…ffc7backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f4…a427backed Yes4c285.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d7…6932backed Yes47c273.4$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes37c268.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005318.9%10 W · 43 L-8.0wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-54.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d18…57bbbacked Yes33c252$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2e…7f88backed Yes32c238$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.