Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $235 in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x497d62b90522211aaac1303316cd65b86aed94f0724580d37a486e36a80318f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 46c | 18,720$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,124.27 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 66c | 12,046$7,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.59 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 40c | 9,049$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.84 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 63c | 8,203$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.35 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 67c | 2,800$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed No | 29c | 2,680$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.63 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,333$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 57c | 1,689$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.13 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 66c | 1,620$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.4 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 26c | 1,294$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.41 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 30c | 1,169$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 73c | 979.64$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.72 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 25c | 706$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 61c | 691$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 25c | 623.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 70c | 459.25$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 59c | 365.42$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 48c | 309.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…aef5backed No | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…92a1backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd5…fc44backed Yes | 77c | 182$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…6932backed Yes | 56c | 128.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…0a00backed No | 55c | 108.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 47c | 106.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…c848backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 53c | 86.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked No | 48c | 79.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…68f7backed Yes | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…2ba2backed No | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…3fe3backed No | 48c | 76.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed No | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +490.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…6cd0backed No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed No | 22c | 58.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd310…be53backed Yes | 68c | 54.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 67 | 77.6%52 W · 15 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…abfebacked No | 41c | 30.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…c11dbacked Yes | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54e…9598backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…1c08backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed2…f8efbacked Yes | 78c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…2597backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $235 in September?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $165 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $185 in September?No won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $205 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $215 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $225 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $250 in September?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $270 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in September?No won
- Will Solana reach $350 in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.