TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55cf…6cd0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Stocks, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+240.1%+$35.3
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+300%+$37.5
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+254.6%+$35.9
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+90.2%+$33.2
Will Ethereum dip to $3,700 October 27-November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 October 27-November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Solana dip to $200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Solana reach $250 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.1
Will Solana reach $235 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Ethereum reach $5000 August 25–31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$6.51
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.7
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Dplus qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$20.52
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.48
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$22.96
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$33
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.