Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77d9ac666adfb2022adadd84031a21f7d6c536f4dcce145e940f6c134286561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,128,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,268,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,128,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0c1…b742backed Yes | 11c | 150,434$16,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,685.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 8c | 83,291$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,303.91 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 9c | 62,000$5,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,672.92 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…8938backed Yes | 3c | 33,053$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.84 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 10c | 21,566$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.91 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffee…5d13backed Yes | 20c | 20,821$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 13,699$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…9902backed Yes | 3c | 13,516$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…1e55backed Yes | 8c | 10,093$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…ab47backed Yes | 9c | 10,074$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 18c | 10,034$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.72 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked Yes | 11c | 9,574$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…6444backed Yes | 3c | 7,211$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…92e2backed No | 75c | 6,725$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 8c | 4,875$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 4c | 4,414$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Yes | 14c | 3,268$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 8c | 3,195$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.15 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed Yes | 9c | 3,118$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 11c | 2,785$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 2,155$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.28 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,049$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed Yes | 15c | 2,029$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,764$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…ccbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,753$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,731$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…8016backed Yes | 15c | 1,715$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked No | 80c | 1,651$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…9ed0backed Yes | 6c | 1,421$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb686…9130backed Yes | 2c | 1,326$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…0464backed Yes | 5c | 1,248$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…c47fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,224$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,125$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,100$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…dfcabacked Yes | 9c | 1,020$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 6c | 882.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 12c | 878.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 12c | 867.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…d2a1backed Yes | 8c | 795.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…d7f2backed Yes | 14c | 716.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 669.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 12c | 628$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…6e2abacked Yes | 6c | 601.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…1cc5backed Yes | 17c | 600$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…fc1bbacked Yes | 6c | 586.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2320…fd2cbacked Yes | 11c | 566.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 559.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247a…608cbacked Yes | 10c | 488.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…30c8backed Yes | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed Yes | 12c | 450$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…3da7backed Yes | 10c | 435.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…16dfbacked Yes | 2c | 433.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f4…b4adbacked Yes | 12c | 422.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 21c | 399.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 22c | 304.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…34abbacked Yes | 4c | 235$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…6a8fbacked Yes | 4c | 234$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…1eeebacked Yes | 7c | 229$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…42e7backed No | 75c | 208$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6819…fb70backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…1614backed Yes | 11c | 193.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…917dbacked Yes | 15c | 177.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…75babacked Yes | 7c | 169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…870abacked Yes | 10c | 124$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…b9cbbacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…c764backed Yes | 22c | 68.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf806…9762backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…cffabacked No | 70c | 49.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…6cd0backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cce…ea99backed No | 80c | 26.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d9…cb5dbacked No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…5d64backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…5ddfbacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…abc5backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.