Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e3bc5be13993bf29840e955ea13ed3072f222c8ab023129f68d606dde4ce6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,401,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,524,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,401,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 14c | 124,341$17,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,285 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 15c | 100,008$14,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,569.12 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…b742backed Yes | 21c | 65,522$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 19c | 56,742$10,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,523.56 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 70c | 55,236$38,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,429.25 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 79c | 45,376$35,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,551.47 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed No | 73c | 28,327$20,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,586.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed Yes | 16c | 24,618$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 30c | 17,699$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.34 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 47c | 8,984$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.49 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 18c | 8,904$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.47 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 78c | 8,115$6,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked No | 64c | 6,416$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 78c | 5,300$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…1599backed Yes | 27c | 5,098$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 64c | 4,939$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.35 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,808$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 9c | 4,080$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.71 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 13c | 4,002$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.04 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…1148backed No | 61c | 3,930$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 26c | 3,650$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.68 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 3,515$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.37 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 54c | 3,500$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 21c | 3,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 24c | 3,446$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.66 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 27c | 3,192$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.21 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d7…1ebfbacked Yes | 40c | 3,190$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…6ce4backed Yes | 1c | 2,774$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…92e8backed No | 67c | 2,744$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 40c | 2,625$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…69fdbacked Yes | 60c | 2,503$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 64c | 2,400$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.55 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 74c | 2,178$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.36 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 66c | 2,100$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.62 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 47c | 1,951$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.45 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,884$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.06 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…7be7backed No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 79c | 1,450$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf662…3e84backed Yes | 14c | 1,415$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…d7c0backed No | 70c | 1,409$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121e…4243backed No | 73c | 1,311$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109a…339abacked Yes | 4c | 1,101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…264cbacked No | 51c | 1,000$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…ccbebacked Yes | 11c | 936.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 61c | 933.1$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.2 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 26c | 925.85$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 68c | 900$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4f…897cbacked Yes | 6c | 869.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 44c | 826.57$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.67 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed No | 48c | 800$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 16c | 796.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb686…9130backed Yes | 4c | 770$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909e…766bbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…398fbacked No | 56c | 763.04$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 18c | 750.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b6…9adfbacked No | 70c | 712.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…d034backed No | 80c | 630$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…e0b9backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…e4fcbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 14c | 611.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…42e7backed No | 59c | 577$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 571$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked No | 70c | 509.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.3 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…bc81backed Yes | 40c | 506.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…dd3cbacked No | 47c | 503.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 48c | 499.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…d7f2backed Yes | 61c | 489.92$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…0e69backed No | 78c | 487.94$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes | 15c | 463$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed No | 77c | 450$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed No | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…7a11backed Yes | 24c | 410.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 14c | 400.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…831cbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 33c | 400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…4e99backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…44edbacked No | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 74c | 388$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…56c6backed Yes | 21c | 385.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…b626backed Yes | 20c | 381.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked No | 50c | 370.15$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…1614backed Yes | 9c | 357.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…411ebacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…c1b9backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…1af1backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 14c | 276.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 70c | 275$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 34c | 271.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Yes | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.