Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x424e7daf9fc02d1796f2eb70fa23823eb83f2193997739ef5da3a750952c6329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,394,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,414,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,394,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 3c | 177,821$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.95 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 13c | 65,379$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800.46 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 20c | 39,768$7,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,880.29 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 33,300$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.94 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 17c | 30,581$5,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330.78 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…aa5dbacked Yes | 11c | 30,486$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 8c | 24,802$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.5 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 22c | 19,330$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.74 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 18,099$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 16,058$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,525$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed No | 72c | 13,000$9,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 1c | 12,547$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,067$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…e0adbacked Yes | 16c | 11,786$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +590.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…9902backed Yes | 2c | 10,740$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 33c | 10,400$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 34c | 10,388$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.81 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 78c | 10,035$7,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.13 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…bb03backed No | 54c | 9,742$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 14c | 8,888$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.44 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 21c | 8,654$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed No | 79c | 7,131$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.09 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 21c | 7,000$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.91 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 48c | 6,776$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…31dfbacked No | 79c | 6,633$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…c6d2backed Yes | 6c | 6,157$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 5,705$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec35…cea9backed Yes | 12c | 5,705$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.08 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77dc…7897backed Yes | 27c | 5,491$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 19c | 5,379$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.12 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…8794backed Yes | 42c | 5,240$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 5,015$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 80c | 4,950$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 76c | 4,600$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 23c | 4,515$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.87 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes | 26c | 4,273$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 24c | 3,825$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.09 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…4438backed Yes | 20c | 3,435$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 3,397$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.82 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5988backed Yes | 2c | 3,164$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,150$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 79c | 3,130$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 23c | 3,105$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 15c | 2,683$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.61 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 23c | 2,650$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.84 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…bb4abacked Yes | 2c | 2,429$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…c39cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,367$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 78c | 2,200$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9c…7a3bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,036$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.12 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…0311backed Yes | 25c | 1,972$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 44c | 1,907$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.81 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 16c | 1,888$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…1743backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…411ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,809$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…1614backed Yes | 16c | 1,745$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…c3d6backed Yes | 20c | 1,650$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,634$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 19c | 1,580$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af2…0cb2backed No | 68c | 1,465$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 15c | 1,446$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 71c | 1,345$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.05 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9312…bde9backed Yes | 2c | 1,282$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 16c | 1,263$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.67 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed Yes | 38c | 1,258$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 43c | 1,256$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…3b83backed Yes | 30c | 1,200$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed Yes | 39c | 1,158$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…73d7backed Yes | 20c | 1,075$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 39c | 1,023$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 76c | 1,010$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…096fbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed No | 79c | 1,000$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.07 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 16c | 933.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…aad0backed Yes | 3c | 900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…52e5backed No | 72c | 900$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…2290backed Yes | 2c | 870$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…f4f2backed Yes | 8c | 856.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…4301backed Yes | 21c | 852.54$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 29c | 832.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 5c | 804.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…324dbacked No | 77c | 710.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 76c | 700$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed Yes | 14c | 699.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…10d9backed Yes | 21c | 686.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f75…7a33backed Yes | 21c | 685$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…93d6backed Yes | 16c | 670.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…7786backed No | 79c | 666.76$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed No | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…71b9backed Yes | 18c | 619.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 18c | 614$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 25c | 610$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…45a9backed Yes | 26c | 599.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…3f46backed No | 78c | 544.06$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.