TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd2a4…3ee9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
484
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT17226.7%46 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$50.4
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$18.6
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$165.99
Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$89
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$131.4
Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$87.2
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.5
Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.99
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$85.25
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.28
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$651
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$67.63
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$93.15
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$142.89
Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.42
Will Russell Henley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.16
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT11961.3%73 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Vit Kopriva vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.79
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.76
Oeiras 3: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$35.96
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.74
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$23.44
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Giulio Zeppieribacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.91
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.83
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.69
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.17
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.86
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Miami Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Miami Open: Diana Shnaider vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.15
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.4
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.69
Miami Open: Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
Miami Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Miami Open: Mariano Navone vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Miami Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$36.81
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$720.49
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$209.18
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$344
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$187
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.11
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$497.42
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+121.1%+$638.57
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$348.67
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.2%+$321
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.21
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$575.92
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.75
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$79.65
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.07
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$86.25
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$38
Liberal party signs coalition agreement before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.24
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.4
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+472.1%+$1,031.5
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$173.5
Will the next Pope be from Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.29
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$89.55
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.57
Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+640.4%+$700.49
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$107.16
Will Slovakia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$216.97
Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+136%+$15.25
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$149.81
Will Sergei Bobrovsky win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.5
Will Aleksander Barkov win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Leon Draisaitl win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$78
Will Sam Bennett win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+137.4%+$98.37
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.59
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues (To Advance)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$43.93
NHL Playoffs: Capitals vs. Canadiens (To Advance)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$53.2
NHL Playoffs: Hurricanes vs. Devils (To Advance)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$27.3
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Michigan advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$21.3
Will Arizona advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Michigan State advance to the Quarterfinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will Houston advance to the Quarterfinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will UCLA advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Virginia advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Will Purdue advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$45.6
Will VCU advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Will Vanderbilt advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.29
Will Gonzaga advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will Michigan State advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$111.44
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.46
Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Jackson State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Florida A&M Rattlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.93
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+217%+$369.63
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
Houston vs. Duke combine for 137+ points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Walter Clayton Jr. score 21+ points against Auburn?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+91.3%+$94.7
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-50.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.81
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.57
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.98
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.15
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.24
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Puerto Rico win Pool A at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+144.7%+$57.88
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Twins vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$61.69
Nationals vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$23.1
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.39
Will DeMarcus Lawrence win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.1
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Will Marcus Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.07
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$114.8
Will Ashton Jeanty record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$52.12
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$164
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$45.8
Bill Belichick and Jordon Hudson breakup before August? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.91
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Jaxson Dart get drafted in the First Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$258
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$188
Will Solana reach $180 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$288
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+84.8%+$302.8
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$167.5
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Will Solana dip to $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$486
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$472.16
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.03
Will Solana reach $170 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$268
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick64cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$390.4
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.48
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.3
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,409Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+36.8%+$887.31
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.7%+$92.1
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$559
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.61
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55.28
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.64
Will Finland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$51.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+113%+$150.11
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.5%+$185
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+313.2%+$75.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30.6%+$129
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+91%+$193.26
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.