TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,699,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,495,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,699,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes43c342,510$146,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195,645.185527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Yes30c68,964$21,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,946.510236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes23c42,495$9,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,873.653455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes23c40,000$9,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,9202100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+216.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No70c34,218$23,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,874.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9128…4a0ebacked Yes12c31,659$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,971.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+758.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Yes52c29,589$15,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,072.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+141.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes21c22,371$4,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,726.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+140.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes28c19,712$5,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,104.551643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes23c18,830$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,412.382227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No48c18,615$8,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,992.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No59c18,101$10,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,678.622958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc148…3c7ebacked Yes51c17,456$8,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,481333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes16c16,392$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,715.941747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes39c14,806$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,985.811822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes19c14,670$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,907.027021.4%15 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5d…cc80backed No62c11,711$7,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,203.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes15c11,450$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,774.89560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+110.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba0c…a550backed Yes14c11,384$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,759.841330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Yes36c10,000$3,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,436.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick18cpaid+189.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes28c9,987$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.224932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb843…1b3fbacked No49c9,892$4,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No48c8,994$4,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,308.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No78c8,895$6,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,909.522770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed No49c8,290$4,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,025.651020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed No79c8,001$6,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,320.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes22c7,933$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,172.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes26c7,441$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,526.628232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Yes20c7,361$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,889.065552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2e…bbefbacked Yes20c7,027$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,627.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked No72c6,721$4,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,835.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-60.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No48c6,522$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.271,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Yes19c5,952$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,808.61966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No58c5,582$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,210.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes23c5,097$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.236934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes18c5,000$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,111.366127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x340f…3cf5backed Yes24c4,999$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,798.99520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes15c4,815$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.443993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked No77c4,762$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,652.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes41c4,712$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.622924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Yes6c4,643$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,348.749444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes24c4,500$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.85540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes20c4,488$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,578.01742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick18cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes23c4,292$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.4725043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes20c4,263$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,415.932330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes48c3,872$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes20c3,773$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.681369.6%13 W · 123 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12e4…c598backed Yes10c3,665$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+246.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes11c3,232$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.241,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Yes33c3,204$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.143943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3dd…edd2backed Yes19c3,030$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes24c3,005$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes43c2,984$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.951,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes21c2,913$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+385.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad86…cd10backed Yes23c2,874$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+121%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Yes23c2,824$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+117.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes36c2,816$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.616643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e95…d070backed Yes10c2,760$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.35229.1%2 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No26c2,730$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes40c2,700$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.491154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes16c2,557$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.89468.7%4 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked No26c2,480$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Yes19c2,463$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+162%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes19c2,285$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.312429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x213e…cd72backed Yes24c2,276$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.451833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes31c2,201$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.492,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Yes24c2,108$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d5…5684backed Yes41c2,000$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+341.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Yes26c1,905$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.971050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6752…c738backed Yes21c1,860$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+365.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes21c1,621$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.293745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No74c1,572$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.332254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes51c1,565$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes20c1,541$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.861020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes21c1,531$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+115.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No72c1,529$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.3360551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Yes23c1,500$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.071747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes51c1,400$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.620548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Yes53c1,339$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.21250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1abc…91edbacked Yes23c1,323$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+338.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cec…1ef6backed Yes45c1,294$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.91520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes15c1,261$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.053122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefab…6277backed No49c1,253$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No67c1,160$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.041,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7b76backed No79c1,150$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.95366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bed…f347backed Yes22c1,131$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.761643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes31c1,100$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes21c1,098$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9137835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Yes23c1,078$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.59560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+85.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6545…3723backed Yes18c1,075$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+446.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a65…acf4backed Yes9c1,072$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.25520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+114.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes25c1,065$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.051136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes46c1,056$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.2110558.1%61 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa826…f823backed Yes18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+175.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf0…0245backed Yes51c999.99$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes19c980.74$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.912222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea2…63c8backed No49c958.24$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Yes22c951.87$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.522454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c60…c24cbacked Yes51c938.87$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 62. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.