TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$506,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes7c72,161$5,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,043.492512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a2…8471backed Yes8c42,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes6c30,825$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.975527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e55…5451backed Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes5c20,000$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.0830139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Yes5c17,125$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.8710236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes8c12,501$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes1c10,546$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.523993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes4c9,864$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.57425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Yes0c9,670$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.151811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes5c8,284$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.77468.7%4 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes5c6,299$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.797021.4%15 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes4c5,965$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.69224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-93.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x340f…3cf5backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.99520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes4c4,579$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.52355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-80.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes4c4,448$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.638232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes5c4,010$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.756127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cec…1ef6backed Yes6c3,891$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91a…a07cbacked Yes5c3,052$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes5c2,935$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.171369.6%13 W · 123 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes5c2,566$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.51127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes5c2,500$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf553…787dbacked Yes4c2,459$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b7…f24dbacked Yes5c2,385$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Yes4c2,273$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes4c2,225$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.232227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes4c2,154$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.583745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes5c1,780$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2560551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed01…c344backed Yes6c1,559$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Yes7c1,445$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.15156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-85.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Yes4c1,266$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.76419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes6c1,245$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.976934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b19…50b7backed Yes4c1,165$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c1…5f7bbacked Yes7c1,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes5c999.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.172138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7701…24e6backed Yes4c999.93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes8c998.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9218129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1942…0867backed Yes5c961.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaafd…3d81backed Yes5c857.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes4c799.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.072330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb869…c4c6backed Yes5c799.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.091040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7794…8df9backed Yes4c791.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes7c775$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.252222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…bfd4backed Yes4c758.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes4c679.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.174045%18 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Yes8c663.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes6c628.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.223619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes4c583.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.043122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a2…e231backed Yes4c549.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c539.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9629012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes4c531.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.796923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes5c528.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c03…8b7bbacked Yes7c520$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.211650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Yes8c507.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.759444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes4c499.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes5c499.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d8…a670backed Yes9c472$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbe…fce9backed Yes4c451.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc8d…84bcbacked Yes5c432.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0c…6565backed Yes5c425.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e6…1c52backed Yes9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349658.3%56 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8662…bac0backed Yes9c378$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…22bfbacked Yes9c304$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe380…d91bbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e06…d668backed Yes4c299.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes6c295$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.310429.8%31 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes8c253.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c44…b971backed Yes4c249.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea6…4780backed Yes4c243.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84e…a97cbacked Yes5c242$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes4c240$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d5…0df1backed Yes9c216$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c6…2e3dbacked Yes9c206$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…0d55backed Yes9c182$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c6…eb9bbacked Yes9c168$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a12…2562backed Yes9c162$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed66…caccbacked Yes9c155$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbea9…a996backed Yes7c143$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b48…acaabacked Yes9c114$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 62. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.