TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa2b0…69e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
678
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT24846.4%115 W · 133 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 248 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.48
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$20.8
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.2
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.8
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.8
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Over 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Over 199.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$37.6
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$113.85
Over 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Over 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$133.55
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$271.76
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Favorite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Showing 25 of 248 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT13519.3%26 W · 109 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+292.9%+$215.19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$70.59
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+262.4%+$118.07
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+160.4%+$160.35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT9938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.59
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$79.63
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Southampton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+406.6%+$162.63
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$51.07
Will Ipswich vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
Will Fulham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$61.27
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT6454.7%35 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.73
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+77.1%+$77.07
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+63.8%+$63.77
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+69%+$82.74
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+82.8%+$16.57
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$26.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Inter vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+124.2%+$62.12
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$126.67
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+362.8%+$725.67
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$198
Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+46.2%+$355.66
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Michigan win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$95.73
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+37%+$110.96
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$50.48
Illinois State vs. Presbyterian Collegebacked Illinois State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$82.35
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Drake vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
McNeese State vs. Purduebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$33.45
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$87.18
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
UNC Wilmington vs. Texas Techbacked UNC Wilmington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.71
Will Manchester United vs. Lyon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Athletic Club vs. Rangers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rangers win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+242.3%+$72.68
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+95.6%+$19.13
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+176.5%+$35.29
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.09
Megaquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,117
Megaquake before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will the high in Washington DC be 30°F or higher on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Bravesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Nationalsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Astros vs. Raysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Mariners vs. Padresbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+29%+$57.99
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+243.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+350.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+800.9%+$160.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.