Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d7da282ed811e58067cbce201d02339fbb2aa36eeb21ad466bbc9681a100765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 6c | 52,916$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.52 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 5c | 36,364$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.88 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 4c | 26,688$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.73 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 18,933$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 1c | 18,328$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 1c | 12,413$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 4c | 10,997$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.61 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 4c | 8,506$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.61 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…41d1backed Yes | 4c | 8,227$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 4c | 8,001$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.06 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 4c | 7,851$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.44 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…9563backed Yes | 5c | 5,972$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 4c | 5,654$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,809$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…edd2backed Yes | 5c | 3,660$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 6c | 3,442$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,907$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 5c | 2,763$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 2,349$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked Yes | 4c | 2,251$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 4c | 2,146$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 2,135$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,991$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,960$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 4c | 1,789$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 5c | 1,618$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Yes | 5c | 1,515$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 5c | 1,413$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 5c | 1,016$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…6593backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 4c | 815.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 4c | 717.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 4c | 708.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x074f…08a9backed Yes | 4c | 668.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…e7e5backed Yes | 5c | 611.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 3c | 610.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 596$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa235…b213backed Yes | 4c | 538.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 5c | 481.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 5c | 477$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…6565backed Yes | 4c | 469.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…21b1backed Yes | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0d…b8f7backed Yes | 5c | 414.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes | 4c | 373.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Yes | 4c | 360.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Yes | 6c | 348.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Yes | 6c | 340.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +732.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…405dbacked Yes | 5c | 305$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…d668backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 4c | 289.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 5c | 264.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…e4c1backed Yes | 5c | 236$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 5c | 213.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 62. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Akron win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arkansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Baylor win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Colorado State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Drake win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Grand Canyon win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will High Point win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Liberty win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Lipscomb win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Marquette win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Memphis win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Mississippi State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Montana win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will New Mexico win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Omaha win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Robert Morris win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SIU Edwardsville win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Francis win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Mary's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. John's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UC San Diego win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UCLA win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UConn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UNC Wilmington win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Utah State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will VCU win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Vanderbilt win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Wisconsin win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Wofford win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.