Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42645f05c5e9a48b513f8210df3fa2fd121fb22e6cec89de9d5a8beebeb399ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 4c | 83,638$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.07 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Yes | 8c | 15,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 4c | 11,798$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.79 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 3c | 10,330$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,155$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 3c | 8,008$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.85 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 3c | 5,804$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 3c | 5,713$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,518$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Yes | 3c | 5,379$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e95…d070backed Yes | 3c | 5,233$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 5,042$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 3c | 4,488$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 0c | 3,421$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 3c | 3,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked Yes | 3c | 2,325$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 3c | 1,839$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,828$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,734$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 2c | 1,646$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,537$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…50b7backed Yes | 3c | 1,496$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 3c | 1,476$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 4c | 1,455$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 3c | 1,429$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,375$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 2c | 1,354$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 2c | 1,341$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ca…b707backed Yes | 4c | 1,301$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 3c | 1,288$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,228$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…797ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 4c | 1,047$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…5f7bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 2c | 999.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…438fbacked Yes | 3c | 943.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes | 3c | 838.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff9…0524backed Yes | 3c | 759.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…2285backed Yes | 2c | 748.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 4c | 707.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Yes | 2c | 669.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…6565backed Yes | 3c | 669.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…ba6cbacked Yes | 8c | 632.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408b…1ffebacked Yes | 4c | 617.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 3c | 559.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c5…9b92backed Yes | 3c | 550.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…badcbacked Yes | 4c | 483.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Yes | 3c | 392.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…dea5backed Yes | 4c | 338.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 3c | 305.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 62. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Akron win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arkansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Baylor win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Colorado State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Drake win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Grand Canyon win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will High Point win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Liberty win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Lipscomb win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Marquette win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Memphis win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Mississippi State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Montana win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will New Mexico win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Omaha win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Robert Morris win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SIU Edwardsville win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Francis win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Mary's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. John's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UC San Diego win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UCLA win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UConn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UNC Wilmington win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Utah State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will VCU win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Vanderbilt win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Wisconsin win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Wofford win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.