Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9332eb8a9881a979bc99b6c3d8ee24e8d5b2ec016ef536a580aff383948aca1c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 6, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,679,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,629,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,679,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 811 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe1e9…7baabacked Yes	49c	304,539$149,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149,994.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	42c	220,250$93,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,015.83	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No	52c	164,463$85,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,373.08	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed No	52c	115,324$59,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,545.77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yes	33c	85,041$27,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,996	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed No	67c	47,627$31,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,851.89	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No	63c	41,542$26,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,462.12	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes	43c	39,320$17,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,038.47	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No	61c	39,139$23,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,320.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked No	62c	27,441$17,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,330.4	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked No	51c	25,500$12,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,544.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes	33c	25,000$8,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,275.99	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a5…fae0backed Yes	22c	24,999$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,499.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed Yes	35c	22,546$7,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,889.65	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes	27c	17,336$4,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,679.56	70	21.4%15 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-39%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes	20c	15,208$3,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,112.16	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Yes	48c	13,948$6,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,712.77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No	52c	13,127$6,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,301.08	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes	45c	13,078$5,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,883.91	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	52c	11,260$5,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,440.09	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	25c	10,504$2,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,619.37	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes	15c	10,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+56%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed No	76c	10,000$7,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dd…e1b2backed Yes	23c	8,769$1,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes	50c	8,626$4,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,337.52	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed16…ad27backed Yes	24c	8,333$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	49c	7,999$3,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,888.15	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes	49c	7,601$3,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,697.07	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes	27c	7,491$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,060.04	250	43.2%108 W · 142 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No	50c	7,264$3,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,631.95	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Yes	31c	6,453$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.24	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Yes	49c	6,301$3,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,087.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x578c…9661backed No	53c	6,058$3,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,847.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes	46c	5,790$2,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,690.15	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	36c	5,512$1,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,977.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ed…c6d1backed Yes	49c	5,474$2,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700.82	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes	46c	4,900$2,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,251	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes	42c	4,774$2,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,005.04	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	32c	4,609$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489.61	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	-12.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Yes	48c	4,583$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.2wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	53c	4,507$2,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,130.49	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed No	52c	4,501$2,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes	23c	4,350$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.5	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2e…bbefbacked Yes	24c	4,167$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93c…17b2backed Yes	24c	4,167$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes	45c	4,107$1,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,847.31	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+33%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Yes	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes	48c	3,849$1,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,857.47	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-4.7wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked No	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…1509backed Yes	30c	3,570$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Yes	48c	3,251$1,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,547.86	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes	49c	3,018$1,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,487.79	164	45.1%74 W · 90 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4755…4196backed Yes	30c	3,000$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3e…662cbacked No	77c	3,000$2,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.98	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Yes	37c	2,966$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.02	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.4wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Yes	29c	2,936$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked No	71c	2,904$2,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.08	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	59c	2,700$1,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,093.86	139	36.7%51 W · 88 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e4…c598backed Yes	21c	2,690$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.9	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+246.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Yes	9c	2,666$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Yes	39c	2,640$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Yes	29c	2,638$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.37	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…cd12backed Yes	49c	2,634$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5b…23cabacked No	71c	2,587$1,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes	21c	2,400$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.74	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes	44c	2,270$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+59%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	30c	2,244$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.96	399	3.3%13 W · 386 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad86…cd10backed Yes	49c	2,169$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+121%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes	24c	2,084$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-88.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…baa2backed Yes	49c	2,075$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Yes	49c	2,061$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Yes	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	64cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4baf…b22bbacked No	71c	2,039$1,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.95	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	15cpaid	-93.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked No	52c	2,006$1,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.1	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+216.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa826…f823backed Yes	21c	2,000$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	25cpaid	+175.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes	32c	1,968$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.87	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f6…7742backed Yes	40c	1,893$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cec…1ef6backed Yes	29c	1,887$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd6…cf01backed Yes	48c	1,849$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa293…2919backed Yes	30c	1,810$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+102.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…b487backed Yes	21c	1,803$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b06…0b42backed No	52c	1,800$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes	53c	1,800$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.99	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Yes	23c	1,757$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+162%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes	27c	1,743$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.05	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes	33c	1,724$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.9	69	23.2%16 W · 53 L	-7.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No	68c	1,688$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.77	136	9.6%13 W · 123 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed No	53c	1,688$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.74	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	59c	1,686$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.88	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	27c	1,659$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.05	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	34c	1,658$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes	49c	1,620$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c51…087cbacked Yes	23c	1,578$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.06	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No	73c	1,483$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.59	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+17%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ebe…de8bbacked Yes	28c	1,394$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes	24c	1,340$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.6wins	+0.43per pick	40cpaid	+115.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	25c	1,268$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.4	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	63c	1,259$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.05	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No	67c	1,255$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.48	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 62. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?this page
Will Akron win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Arkansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will BYU win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Baylor win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Clemson win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Colorado State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Creighton win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Drake win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
Will Georgia win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Gonzaga win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Grand Canyon win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will High Point win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Illinois win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Iowa State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Kansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Kentucky win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Liberty win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Lipscomb win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Louisville win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Marquette win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will McNeese win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Memphis win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Michigan win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Mississippi State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Missouri win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Montana win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will New Mexico win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will North Carolina win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Oklahoma win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Ole Miss win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Omaha win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Oregon win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Robert Morris win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will SIU Edwardsville win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Saint Francis win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Saint Mary's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will St. John's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Texas A&M win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Texas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Troy win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will UC San Diego win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will UCLA win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will UConn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will UNC Wilmington win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Utah State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will VCU win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Vanderbilt win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Wisconsin win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Will Wofford win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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