TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9f7…00f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Golf at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.51
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,645.19
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$22.61
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,029%+$7,862.39
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,412.58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,807.84
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.51
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,723.42
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$7,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,076.87
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.15
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$72.75
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.2
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.99
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,575.09
Spread: Hawks (-11.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$50
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,441Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+156.4%+$2,254.55
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,049.99
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+262.2%+$2,388.87
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed East · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$850
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$841.09
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$515.98
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+119.7%+$4,000.07
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,378.88
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+403.3%+$3,415.93
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$780.93
Will a #1 seed win the NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$799.74
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,261.79
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$675
Will Auburn make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.08
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Houston make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+140.3%+$615.95
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.07
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$30.03
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,236.7
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$812.31
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+83.3%+$67.32
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$544.98
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$649.94
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$575.99
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+124.7%+$1,110
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,526Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+75.5%+$1,908.01
VCU vs. BYUbacked VCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.67
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.94
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,881.34
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+629.9%+$34,520
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$454
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,830.66
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$5,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,713.85
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$9,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,717.69
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,910.78
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,016.05
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,057.05
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,883Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$696.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+216.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.