TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Michigan vs. Auburn

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auburnof Michigan, Auburn
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$580,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$612,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Michigan21c75,593$15,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,988.433455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Auburn79c60,000$47,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6008644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29b…b635backed Michigan26c30,657$7,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,957.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Michigan21c26,918$5,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,655.77912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Michigan0c19,326$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.443993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Auburn69c19,043$13,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,810.5310041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Michigan34c17,577$5,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.4610335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Auburn77c15,583$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.054242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Michigan21c15,536$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.014542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Michigan21c11,243$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.161656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Auburn79c10,552$8,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.92540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Michigan21c10,001$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.7910511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Michigan22c9,896$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.175527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Michigan32c9,829$3,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.682917.2%5 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Michigan23c9,130$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1004520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Michigan21c8,279$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.87936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…f46bbacked Michigan7c7,010$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Michigan21c7,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4708138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Michigan27c6,942$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.94134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Auburn72c6,899$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.7341554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Michigan23c5,000$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1451850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Michigan0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Auburn80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Michigan16c4,767$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8410236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Michigan20c4,184$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.166934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Auburn79c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Auburn73c3,999$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.631136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+127.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Auburn75c3,930$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.492580%20 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Michigan21c3,855$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.5413936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Michigan25c3,702$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.082222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Auburn79c3,400$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7143357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Auburn79c3,321$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.383046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Michigan20c3,200$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64042948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Michigan21c3,100$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.942330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Michigan22c3,041$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.04425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Michigan19c2,977$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.589641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Auburn73c2,819$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.821070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Michigan22c2,790$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.959833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Michigan2c2,735$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.61811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Auburn79c2,700$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5791145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Auburn79c2,653$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.811978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Auburn77c2,607$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.521560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Auburn79c2,543$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.983652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Michigan21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Michigan22c2,464$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Michigan7c2,399$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.82759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Michigan4c2,383$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842020%4 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb956…c475backed Michigan16c2,355$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.51414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Auburn80c2,217$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.38875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Auburn76c2,092$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.696440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Auburn74c2,078$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Michigan22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Michigan27c1,946$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Auburn69c1,911$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.941,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Auburn70c1,846$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.664632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Auburn77c1,807$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.675054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Michigan21c1,776$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Michigan36c1,676$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Michigan21c1,634$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb8…4e12backed Michigan40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Michigan37c1,495$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.6355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3caa…4a0bbacked Michigan32c1,432$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Auburn79c1,227$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6715851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Auburn79c1,225$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2516053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Michigan31c1,204$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.253016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Michigan25c1,171$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.22924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Auburn79c1,143$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0316842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Michigan25c1,136$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.77100%0 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Auburn79c1,111$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.314250%21 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Auburn70c1,090$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.593669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f7…e1d3backed Michigan22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Michigan24c920.29$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Auburn78c895.64$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Auburn79c850$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.51283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Auburn78c764.65$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.224254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Auburn66c751.92$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.732222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…602cbacked Michigan26c750$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+261.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Michigan31c750$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Michigan28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd323…9e96backed Auburn71c700$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a41…88d9backed Auburn80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Michigan28c594.64$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Auburn75c572.72$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.231,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Auburn79c555$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.553943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd248…daffbacked Auburn80c517.55$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Auburn78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Auburn80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Michigan25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Auburn80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Auburn71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Michigan21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Auburn44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Michigan32c490.06$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Michigan22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Auburn79c445.73$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.732657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Auburn76c442.24$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1453057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Auburn50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x831b…eed5backed Michigan25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Auburn73c396$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.841,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Auburn79c379.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.871090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.