TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed0e…b305

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
575
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST21723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 217 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.28
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+244.8%+$710
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$700
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$138.6
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$494.6
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$264.01
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$630
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+270.4%+$730
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,274.98
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$208.59
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+455.6%+$820
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$229.99
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+568.4%+$850.4
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$167.87
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+284.6%+$740
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$169.13
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+400%+$4,000
Showing 25 of 217 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT8920.2%18 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Fever win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.13
Aces vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$770
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.38
Will the Golden State Valkyries win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.2
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.51
Mercury vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.13
Aces vs. Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Valkyries vs. Lynxbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.96
Will the Los Angeles Sparks win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.96
Sparks vs. Mercurybacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,035
Lynx vs. Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.57
Sun vs. Dreambacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.31
Wings vs. Valkyriesbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Sun vs. Skybacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Sparks vs. Dreambacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.61
Sparks vs. Stormbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+525%+$840
Wings vs. Lynxbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will the Washington Mystics win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.02
Wings vs. Dreambacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.26
Storm vs. Lynxbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$760
Mystics vs. Libertybacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Sun vs. Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.1
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST8921.3%19 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$642.3
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+497.5%+$1,562.65
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$228.63
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$117.15
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+203%+$536
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+244.8%+$710
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$350
Seahawks vs. Steelersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+375.9%+$3,954.22
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$910
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$2,416.68
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$3,120
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$894.24
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.43
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$313
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.96
Chargers vs. Rams backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$720
49ers vs. Raiders backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+219.4%+$625.09
Saints vs. Chargers backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Broncos vs. 49ers backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.71
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST7414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,381.47
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+265%+$1,768.39
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$153.24
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$553.41
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$443.3
Houston vs. Oregon Statebacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$419.38
California vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+177.9%+$484.88
Boise State vs. Air Forcebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
West Virginia vs. Kansasbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Purdue vs. Notre Damebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Ball State vs. UConnbacked Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.1
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$780
Boston College vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+237.2%+$1,132.5
Texas A&M vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.91
Utah vs. Wyomingbacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$296
USC vs. Purduebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.5
Iowa State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.3
New Mexico vs. UCLAbacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+525%+$668.08
Colorado vs. Houstonbacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.69
Boston College vs. Michigan Statebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.94
Troy vs. Clemsonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.84
Iowa vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
James Madison vs. Louisvillebacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Northern Illinois vs. Marylandbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT5335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+108.5%+$108
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.7
Nationals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pirates vs. Diamondbacksbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.67
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+437.6%+$407
Phillies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.9
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.55
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$197
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$186
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$350
Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$474
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$430.93
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.12
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.69
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.5
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.5
Will Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will BYU win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Ole Miss vs. Iowa Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+203%+$201
Drake vs. Texas Techbacked Drake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.76
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.6
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$270.4
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Texas vs. Tennesseebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Boise State vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.5
Michigan State vs. Illinoisbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+233.3%+$700
Mississippi State vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Cincinnati vs. Iowa Statebacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$126.37
Stanford vs. Dukebacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$71.74
Auburn vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$89.7
Arkansas vs. Texas A&Mbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nevada vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$155
Pennsylvania vs. Yalebacked Pennsylvania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$123.68
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.54
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.91
Will Elon tweet 305–319 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.03
Will Elon tweet 290–304 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Elon tweet 275–289 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.96
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.54
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.21
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 825-849 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.61
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 725-749 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 750 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+163.2%+$818.4
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$501.6
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$100.32
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+61.3%+$122.58
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$362.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+48.6%+$2,428.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Beverly Hills by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$20.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.