NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2e1ab8ff6473b5761387663e533d16b3f9c97001f9563baa83bcc4fab319965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Kings, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Kings | 37c | 29,240$10,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,810 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Capitals | 67c | 13,621$9,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.53 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Capitals | 79c | 11,179$8,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.08 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 51c | 4,739$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.2 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Capitals | 66c | 2,629$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.32 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Capitals | 70c | 1,715$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…51e9backed Capitals | 61c | 1,190$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.16 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 39c | 831.11$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.05 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Capitals | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 57c | 557.28$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.53 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 38c | 472.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.45 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Kings | 40c | 444$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…f1e8backed Kings | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Capitals | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Capitals | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 43c | 253.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 10c | 229.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Capitals | 66c | 205$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Kings | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 55c | 190.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Kings | 41c | 174.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Kings | 41c | 173.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Kings | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Kings | 41c | 167.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Kings | 21c | 149.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings | 44c | 113.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings | 42c | 100.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 60c | 99.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kings | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Kings | 44c | 95.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Kings | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Capitals | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Capitals | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Capitals | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…a619backed Capitals | 56c | 59.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083b…3decbacked Kings | 45c | 54.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…b2a1backed Capitals | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Capitals | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4b…f88abacked Capitals | 56c | 42.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…d0f6backed Capitals | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…1322backed Kings | 43c | 41.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…a6d5backed Kings | 43c | 41.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…eca2backed Capitals | 56c | 40.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…c232backed Kings | 43c | 40.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…12fabacked Capitals | 57c | 40.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…c58cbacked Capitals | 57c | 40.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…9110backed Kings | 43c | 40.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…22b5backed Kings | 44c | 39.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4771backed Capitals | 60c | 39.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…3584backed Capitals | 57c | 38.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f2…0b08backed Capitals | 57c | 38.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…d7bbbacked Kings | 43c | 38.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…dda5backed Capitals | 60c | 37.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…29bcbacked Capitals | 59c | 37.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4416…a992backed Capitals | 57c | 36.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…61b1backed Capitals | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b58…4fa6backed Capitals | 60c | 36.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…6a1abacked Capitals | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…64abbacked Kings | 44c | 35.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…9e8dbacked Capitals | 57c | 35.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…7bbdbacked Kings | 43c | 35.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…5585backed Kings | 44c | 35.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…d030backed Capitals | 57c | 35.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784e…fb43backed Kings | 44c | 34.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…dd09backed Capitals | 60c | 34.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c39cbacked Capitals | 56c | 34.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…a4e7backed Capitals | 59c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd2…0edebacked Kings | 43c | 34.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…75c6backed Capitals | 57c | 34.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…d6eebacked Kings | 43c | 33.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…7ababacked Capitals | 57c | 33.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…9ab7backed Kings | 40c | 33.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…055abacked Capitals | 60c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Capitals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Capitals | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…a6adbacked Capitals | 57c | 32.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…88a2backed Capitals | 56c | 31.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…94d8backed Capitals | 57c | 31.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed63…cf7ebacked Capitals | 60c | 30.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…613dbacked Capitals | 80c | 29.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…f0d8backed Kings | 40c | 29.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…257dbacked Capitals | 60c | 29.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9746…f285backed Kings | 40c | 29.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…28acbacked Capitals | 59c | 29.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Kings | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf790…5ba0backed Capitals | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…9c10backed Kings | 41c | 28.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9616…0e66backed Capitals | 56c | 28.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Kings | 41c | 28.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…3256backed Capitals | 60c | 27.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe830…8080backed Capitals | 56c | 27.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…96edbacked Capitals | 60c | 27.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…305cbacked Kings | 40c | 27.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…ea48backed Kings | 43c | 27.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c99…6b75backed Kings | 39c | 27.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.