TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60f8…32f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
282
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.45
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.53
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.68
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
Canadiens vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17.97
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+72.4%+$13.01
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$20.13
Senators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18.19
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$17.15
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.86
Kraken vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.06
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.94
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+177.8%+$19.84
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+143.9%+$20.64
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.25
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.02
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$20.52
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$14.85
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST9046.7%42 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.09
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+37.8%+$6.58
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.55
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$10.36
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$15.18
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.83
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+56.2%+$9.71
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.49
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$19.72
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.69
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+85.2%+$15.18
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+177.8%+$19.84
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.94
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.75
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.1
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$18.13
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.52
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.21
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.54
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.36
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST1921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.04
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.03
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7.7
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$11.54
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+194.1%+$23.1
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$11.96
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$12.09
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Everton win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+37%+$4.59
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will Ipswich vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$16.1
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$24.32
Will Brentford vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$24.43
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$36.66
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20.88
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.66
Buffalo State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Baylor vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+177.8%+$21.12
Louisiana Tech vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+25%+$4
BYU vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$15.6
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+96.1%+$15.19
Louisiana vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+37%+$5.94
Texas Tech vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+108.3%+$16.64
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+150%+$17.4
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$15.12
Northern Illinois vs. Fresno Statebacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+78.6%+$11.87
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$10.78
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+42.9%+$6.6
Ohio vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$22.69
California vs. UNLVbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$21.41
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$11.65
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+244.8%+$24.85
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.15
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.95
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.71
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$18.56
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$18.4
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+47.1%+$8.32
Raiders vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$16.71
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+81.8%+$12.6
49ers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+127.3%+$17.36
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+81.8%+$12.6
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$29.49
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$29
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+76.4%+$21.23
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$10.6
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+138.1%+$13.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,497.27
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.1%+$392.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+27%+$539.63
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$292.61
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$202.23
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$564.12
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.19
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$134.56
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$632.12
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$72.41
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$77.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+65.3%+$45.09
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+82.2%+$18.09
Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$11.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$11.94
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$11.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+51.5%+$5.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.