UFC · resolved market
Covington vs. Buckley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64bb374adc3994ca6556877e1708156454bf115db1598932f3cc4a54e695f760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buckleyof Covington, Buckley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Buckley | 68c | 57,966$39,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,361.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Covington | 31c | 31,448$9,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,848.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Buckley | 68c | 30,191$20,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,765.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Buckley | 67c | 26,265$17,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,780.1 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…27a9backed Covington | 33c | 21,162$6,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,983.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Covington | 33c | 14,976$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.11 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Covington | 26c | 13,894$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.55 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed Covington | 33c | 7,845$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…007fbacked Covington | 34c | 5,777$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Covington | 28c | 5,676$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Covington | 33c | 4,850$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Covington | 31c | 4,441$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.72 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Covington | 29c | 4,335$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.9 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Covington | 33c | 4,227$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…fbf1backed Buckley | 69c | 4,044$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Buckley | 68c | 3,883$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.31 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Covington | 24c | 3,401$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.44 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Covington | 32c | 3,012$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05c…0a1cbacked Covington | 34c | 3,007$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Covington | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…75bcbacked Covington | 34c | 3,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Buckley | 67c | 2,986$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.34 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Buckley | 62c | 2,800$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd780…b355backed Covington | 38c | 2,795$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Buckley | 68c | 2,703$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.03 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Covington | 33c | 2,433$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Buckley | 77c | 1,650$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…0ae1backed Covington | 37c | 1,639$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Covington | 34c | 1,602$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.67 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Covington | 33c | 1,578$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…341bbacked Covington | 7c | 1,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Covington | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5d…e078backed Covington | 34c | 1,462$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Buckley | 69c | 1,377$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Buckley | 65c | 1,264$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Buckley | 68c | 1,262$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4805backed Covington | 18c | 1,160$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed Buckley | 71c | 1,081$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Buckley | 60c | 1,072$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.61 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe606…73a9backed Buckley | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Covington | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Covington | 31c | 1,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Buckley | 68c | 906.2$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…d83fbacked Buckley | 68c | 898.4$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.14 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…261abacked Buckley | 70c | 858.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cce…cc16backed Covington | 34c | 852.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Buckley | 68c | 839.37$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…6d92backed Buckley | 79c | 783.45$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Covington | 25c | 765.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Covington | 31c | 759.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…f4abbacked Covington | 34c | 728.91$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Covington | 26c | 681.28$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…613cbacked Buckley | 69c | 599.85$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…ecbfbacked Covington | 32c | 591.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Covington | 33c | 545.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Buckley | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Buckley | 71c | 506.81$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Buckley | 71c | 505$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Covington | 34c | 504.25$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Covington | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Covington | 34c | 500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f9a2backed Covington | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Covington | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Buckley | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Covington | 33c | 497$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…ad30backed Buckley | 67c | 483.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…2461backed Covington | 32c | 474.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Covington | 33c | 469.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…3199backed Covington | 35c | 431.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb448…53acbacked Covington | 33c | 360.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…c8c3backed Covington | 32c | 357.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…3d45backed Buckley | 69c | 351.3$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Buckley | 67c | 341$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…558bbacked Covington | 30c | 330.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Buckley | 69c | 329.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Covington | 34c | 317.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Covington | 32c | 314.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Covington | 32c | 310.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Covington | 33c | 303.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Buckley | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ad…cc72backed Covington | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Buckley | 66c | 292.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Buckley | 68c | 283.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Buckley | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Buckley | 70c | 270.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Buckley | 72c | 269.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…69a5backed Covington | 32c | 237.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Buckley | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…f90fbacked Buckley | 74c | 215.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked Covington | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Covington | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…6e7abacked Covington | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Buckley | 67c | 193.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…2bbdbacked Covington | 30c | 172.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…abb3backed Buckley | 71c | 167.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Covington | 28c | 162.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…22c4backed Covington | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…211fbacked Covington | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Covington | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…e633backed Covington | 37c | 154$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Covington vs. Buckleythis page
- Alvarez vs. KloseAlvarez won
- Grant vs.TaverasGrant won
- Johns vs. LimaLima won
- Johnson vs. AzaitarJohnson won
- Kape vs. SilvaKape won
- Knutsson vs. RodriguezRodriguez won
- Maverick vs. HorthMaverick won
- Petrino vs. JacobyJacoby won
- Stirling vs. TokkosStirling won
- Swanson vs. QuarantilloSwanson won
- Woodson vs. PadillaWoodson won
- Yanez vs. MarcosMarcos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.