TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7eed…5a28

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST9329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19,350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$7,167.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,244Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$9,731.93
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,739Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$5,216.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,612.18
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,688.18
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,805.66
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,576Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$5,145.97
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+128.1%+$5,749.62
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 500 (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$58.44
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3)backed CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,031.37
Will FURIA win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,883.03
Will Team Falcons win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,970.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,654.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$400.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,160.47
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,901.69
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Nemiga (BO3)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+120.3%+$1,142.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,689.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,484.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,203.47
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,069.94
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,413.38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,573Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+158%+$7,224.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+300%+$246.09
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$408.14
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST6829.4%20 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$136.53
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$774.5
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,981.1
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,200
UFC 322: McConico vs. Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$444.4
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,548.83
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$883.74
Klein vs. Rebeckibacked Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,312.87
Wood vs. Delgadobacked Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,708Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+131.9%+$3,573.53
Raposo vs. Maksumbacked Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,759Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+434.3%+$7,640.22
Silva vs. Parkbacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,882Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+197.9%+$5,703.63
Barlow vs. Santosbacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,726Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+225.9%+$3,900.62
Luque vs. Álvarezbacked Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,777.59
Petersen vs. Petrinobacked Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,169.28
Rahmani vs. Trabelsibacked Trabelsi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
El Dafrawy vs. Zendelibacked Zendeli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+133.7%+$220.95
UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. Montaguebacked Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. Donchenkobacked Sezinando · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.97
Guarascio vs. Asplundbacked Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+150%+$681
Blair vs. Sanchesbacked Blair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$978.47
UFC Fight Night: Borralho and Saint Denis backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.07
UFC Fight Night: Imavov and Saint Denis backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$359.76
UFC Fight Night: Imavov and Ruffy backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$86.86
UFC Fight Night: Borralho and Ruffy backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$387.3
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+181.1%+$2,070.72
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$126.01
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,441.24
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,449.48
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,663Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$1,247.53
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,202Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+133.4%+$5,605.28
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Team Spirit win The International 2025 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$152
Will Aurora Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.82
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. BOOM Esportsbacked BOOM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,054Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+102.6%+$4,160.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Bounty: Spirit vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$665.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.