Dota2 · resolved market
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0cd8d7f6c207acee801918c71532901ca3d98f884f71d03c9f5c488b7a2b37e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $560,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $557,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 0c | 51,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Yes | 43c | 30,394$13,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,078.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…4af4backed Yes | 1c | 25,315$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Yes | 44c | 20,139$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked No | 69c | 12,548$8,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.42 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 34c | 11,236$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.83 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Yes | 61c | 10,458$6,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,394.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 56c | 10,000$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes | 47c | 9,725$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.37 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…34d2backed Yes | 62c | 8,129$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 44c | 7,877$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.11 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…089dbacked Yes | 69c | 7,557$5,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…e387backed Yes | 22c | 7,428$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…0370backed Yes | 27c | 7,079$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…7665backed No | 59c | 6,765$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa753…51c9backed Yes | 31c | 6,367$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed No | 51c | 6,265$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7637…de5dbacked No | 50c | 5,946$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed No | 70c | 5,684$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…af41backed Yes | 43c | 5,671$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…b1d6backed Yes | 34c | 5,355$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…b15fbacked Yes | 27c | 5,206$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…a997backed Yes | 41c | 4,923$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb345…5780backed Yes | 62c | 4,799$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 41c | 4,775$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.22 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 53c | 4,573$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…ebc1backed Yes | 63c | 4,511$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 25c | 4,483$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 43c | 4,318$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.89 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf231…630abacked Yes | 63c | 3,956$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed No | 68c | 3,911$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…ae62backed Yes | 31c | 3,784$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 28c | 3,721$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.43 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed No | 44c | 3,656$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Yes | 47c | 3,377$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…5b61backed Yes | 73c | 3,259$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 50c | 3,072$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed No | 51c | 2,978$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.2 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed No | 51c | 2,882$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.55 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 41c | 2,824$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.42 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,800$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…33aabacked Yes | 28c | 2,756$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 48c | 2,749$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…49fcbacked Yes | 59c | 2,702$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 27c | 2,661$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…7123backed No | 61c | 2,559$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 58c | 2,543$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.37 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 39c | 2,538$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.37 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.53 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a6f0backed Yes | 61c | 2,404$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…e50abacked Yes | 32c | 2,281$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 45c | 2,141$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Yes | 31c | 2,133$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…65a4backed Yes | 46c | 2,104$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.59 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked No | 38c | 1,964$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.37 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 13c | 1,958$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…1689backed No | 28c | 1,927$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +206.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…8849backed No | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…6533backed Yes | 59c | 1,707$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…273ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,694$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b22…a494backed Yes | 30c | 1,672$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 74c | 1,661$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.53 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…2780backed Yes | 65c | 1,629$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…b948backed Yes | 34c | 1,616$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked Yes | 53c | 1,584$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…5b81backed Yes | 41c | 1,578$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…1baebacked Yes | 8c | 1,513$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Yes | 67c | 1,497$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa1…f52cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,490$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…2c44backed Yes | 15c | 1,486$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed No | 70c | 1,435$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…c0dabacked Yes | 16c | 1,410$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.38 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,335$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…5091backed Yes | 47c | 1,329$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…a550backed Yes | 53c | 1,327$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Yes | 48c | 1,318$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…0dd5backed Yes | 27c | 1,306$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 23c | 1,303$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed No | 59c | 1,268$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.57 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…33a3backed Yes | 31c | 1,259$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea4…345cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,251$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked No | 52c | 1,241$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Yes | 42c | 1,200$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…e0debacked Yes | 58c | 1,148$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…277dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,134$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…9539backed Yes | 26c | 1,132$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…70aebacked No | 38c | 1,108$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…db2ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,105$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…9c44backed Yes | 65c | 1,081$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed Yes | 19c | 1,070$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…668cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,052$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed Yes | 40c | 1,040$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.24 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 41c | 1,018$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.45 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…2944backed No | 56c | 1,003$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…6754backed Yes | 48c | 986.78$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.05 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…748cbacked Yes | 57c | 958.72$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd387…ac3cbacked Yes | 46c | 956.56$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?this page
- Will Aurora Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will BetBoom Team win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Gaimin Gladiators win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will HEROIC win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Nigma Galaxy win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?Yes won
- Will Team Liquid win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Team Nemesis win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Team Spirit win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Team Tidebound win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
- Will Tundra Esports win The International 2025 Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.