TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf208…314e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$51.99
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$610
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$581.5
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$369.99
Blue Jays vs. Royalsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+60%+$75
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$175
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$127.25
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$559.99
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$361.18
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,514Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+58.5%+$886
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$681
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.5
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$354
Astros vs. Bravesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$360
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$219
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$440
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$260
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Fulham vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+43.7%+$407.49
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$248.4
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,744Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$755.5
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,053.79
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$504
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+68.7%+$144.56
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$614.05
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Seahawks vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Rams vs. Titansbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$47
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$610
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Colorado State vs. New Mexicobacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Georgia Tech vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Marshall vs. Georgia Statebacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$2,150
Spread: Arkansas State (-4.5)backed Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Ball State vs. UConnbacked Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Michigan vs. Nebraskabacked Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Clemson vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$122
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,335Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$665
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$277.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$175
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$50.6
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,482Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+41%+$1,018.12
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$375
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$880
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-68.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,646.07
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+53.9%+$391.62
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$81
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+43.8%+$184.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$78.2
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$163.23
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$4,087.66
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club León FC vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$313.8
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$217
FISSURE Playground 2: FaZe vs. paiNbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$52.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56%+$394.95
Dream vs. Feverbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$457.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$153.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.