MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x716e7fbb2a6a08f70dbb4e57e5db707487b28bece74625aaef483d92c64f764b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 56c | 206,197$116,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,907.17 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 44c | 113,502$50,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,289.22 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Braves | 42c | 25,081$10,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,656.55 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 43c | 23,557$10,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,082.58 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 43c | 18,108$7,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,786.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 45c | 11,263$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Astros | 55c | 11,123$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.13 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Braves | 45c | 10,800$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Braves | 44c | 10,755$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.18 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Braves | 43c | 5,885$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.43 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 44c | 5,455$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Braves | 45c | 5,009$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.05 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 43c | 3,437$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 44c | 2,456$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.31 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Braves | 46c | 2,101$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.7 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 58c | 1,994$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.02 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Astros | 56c | 1,902$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.86 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 24c | 1,888$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Braves | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Astros | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Astros | 55c | 1,318$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.21 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Braves | 44c | 1,234$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.95 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Astros | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Astros | 56c | 1,165$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.43 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Braves | 6c | 1,122$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 73c | 1,112$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 30c | 1,101$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.23 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Astros | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Braves | 45c | 1,094$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Braves | 27c | 1,001$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.04 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Braves | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Braves | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Astros | 56c | 991.92$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.44 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Braves | 44c | 898$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.12 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Braves | 45c | 889$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Braves | 47c | 856.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Astros | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Braves | 42c | 800$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Braves | 44c | 716$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.04 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Braves | 45c | 691.93$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 45c | 603$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.35 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Braves | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…2c56backed Astros | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Braves | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 43c | 528.67$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.33 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Astros | 56c | 517.55$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Braves | 45c | 513.33$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Braves | 42c | 500$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.06 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Braves | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 52c | 485.42$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 45c | 456.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Braves | 44c | 455$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Braves | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Braves | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Braves | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Braves | 42c | 374.05$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Astros | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astros | 61c | 354$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Astros | 56c | 351.26$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 46c | 338.43$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 61c | 305$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Braves | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Astros | 79c | 288.15$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…b97bbacked Astros | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Braves | 43c | 270$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 53c | 264$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Braves | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Braves | 6c | 242.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed Astros | 56c | 225$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 56c | 216.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Braves | 16c | 188.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Braves | 45c | 182.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 45c | 170.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Braves | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Astros | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…e92dbacked Astros | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 45c | 159$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Astros | 56c | 156.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Braves | 44c | 141.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Braves | 46c | 141.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Braves | 45c | 133$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Braves | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e6…8f44backed Braves | 45c | 110.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Astros | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Astros | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Braves | 12c | 104.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Braves | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Braves | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Braves | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Astros | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Braves | 48c | 98.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Bravesthis page
- Astros vs. Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Astros (-1.5)Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.