TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x882c…9133

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.73
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$72.12
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$17.92
Diamondbacks vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Astros vs. Bravesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$99
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$85.47
White Sox vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$80.56
Rangers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+75.8%+$98.57
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+109%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$102.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.78
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$323.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.09
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$279.97
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+225.6%+$205.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$590
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+743.7%+$987.43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+195.2%+$607.16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$432.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$461.22
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.42
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.73
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.71
Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.86
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.48
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.26
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+283.1%+$309.64
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.15
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Fever vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+37%+$7.4
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+40.8%+$6.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.84
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT+30.4%+$47.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$459.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$246.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked John · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$274.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.