TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Yankees vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Yankees, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees57c27,334$15,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,753.451,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox11c23,859$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.21,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Red Sox8c15,634$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.4178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Red Sox43c14,703$6,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,322.2916347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Yankees58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Red Sox42c6,924$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.031546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Red Sox42c4,656$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.0838949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Red Sox42c3,470$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.59440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees58c3,436$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.722,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees56c3,400$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4961,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Red Sox42c3,380$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4273345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Red Sox23c2,567$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.0321847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox25c2,415$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.249,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Red Sox43c2,324$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.522948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox17c2,271$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.792,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox44c2,011$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.841,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Red Sox19c1,732$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.2615033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox19c1,339$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6923938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yankees76c1,299$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.7312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Red Sox19c1,242$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2366,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Red Sox43c1,234$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Red Sox43c1,201$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.432958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox43c1,123$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.541,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Yankees57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Red Sox43c898$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.1412436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yankees58c873.54$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a11…abe7backed Red Sox17c833.35$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Red Sox43c716$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Yankees56c714.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5917045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees56c714$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.161,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Red Sox44c689.29$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2924253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Red Sox42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25214148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Red Sox41c599.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24632651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees74c565.73$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.924,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Red Sox42c553.24$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.363455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox42c528.67$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox43c519.12$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.171,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked Yankees59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.474753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees58c507$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Red Sox42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21051547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Red Sox44c495.88$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.52626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Red Sox28c488.88$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.796,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Sox43c462$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6627751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Red Sox44c453.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Red Sox45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Red Sox24c423.58$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6612640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66fa…12a3backed Red Sox43c410.7$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox30c409.55$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8738751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox8c355.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Red Sox45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Red Sox8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Red Sox28c305.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7160052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Sox16c300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4725416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees56c282$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.081,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Red Sox24c275.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1116947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Yankees55c271.51$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.185451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Red Sox44c236.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…9133backed Yankees57c228.57$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e1…973fbacked Red Sox44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox24c212.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Red Sox45c211.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Red Sox44c206.82$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9157744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x245f…b6d7backed Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc805…e5dbbacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcff…0e58backed Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885048%24 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0f…f1dcbacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…18cfbacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0957…502ebacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdcd…8364backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dd…05fabacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…cd16backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885149%25 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ade…3223backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3070…218cbacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18fa…4a5ebacked Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8b…716ebacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x247e…3a07backed Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8e2…5daebacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb006…289fbacked Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885048%24 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cd…5c0bbacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d07…3068backed Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0add…142bbacked Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d6…b3a6backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…7b28backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6b…0c40backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9e…5af9backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd72b…584fbacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf44e…e7f7backed Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885054%27 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0970…ec88backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885054%27 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd613…3f24backed Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x903c…e732backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c61…1d6bbacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cca…6c96backed Yankees56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54f…ed41backed Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf020…32dfbacked Red Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.