TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b28…66f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
444
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10850.9%55 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$289.74
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$942.19
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,205
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+125%+$124.97
Sharks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$493.69
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,955.17
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,960
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Utah vs. Wildbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$193.85
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+59%+$97.32
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.21
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.36
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$196.19
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.94
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$289.2
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.3
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,117.67
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,049.03
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,506.86
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$471.73
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005.88
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.6
Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.9
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,535Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$940.81
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$792.86
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$525
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$525
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$525
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,215
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$275
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$816.67
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$321.77
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.76
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$184.62
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$93.33
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$2,546.69
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$94.35
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$204.59
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+103.1%+$206.28
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT6346%29 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.35
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.31
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.25
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,761Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,990.73
Spread: Dayton Flyers (-6.5)backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$844.45
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.87
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.72
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.25
VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartans: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$214.77
Spread: Washington Huskies (-6.5)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$214.77
North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolvesbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$194.51
Monmouth Hawks vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$198.25
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+284.6%+$353.37
LSU Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$131.42
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$99.24
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$487.88
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100.2%+$99.34
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit Titansbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Marist Red Foxes vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Idaho Vandals vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$95.9
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$95.28
Lindenwood Lions vs. Tennessee State Tigersbacked Lindenwood Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$950
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$225.78
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$225
49ers vs. Eagles: 1H Moneylinebacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+52.1%+$260.59
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.8%+$396.63
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$379.17
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$725
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$97.22
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,037
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$260
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$232.1
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,965
Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$200
O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Utah (-14.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Duke (-3.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Arizona State vs. Duke: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+90%+$179.96
Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+143.9%+$482.07
O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,025
Spread: Houston (-1.5)backed Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$500
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+97.6%+$502.41
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: BYU (-3.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$520.41
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$334.78
Spread: Minnesota (-1.5)backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$312.25
O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,750
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$115.47
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$143.85
Central Michigan vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$110.82
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,846.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$145
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.