Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab281fa45bf48bb308fe2e8b8afd65e726fef0f3a52262a52efa705a018e754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,901 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 8,049$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.31 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 6,473$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.61 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 712.82$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.03 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 624.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 48c | 413.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Over | 48c | 371.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 330.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Over | 48c | 274.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 48c | 189.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 92.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 88.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 48c | 65.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 48c | 57.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Over | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 51c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 48c | 23.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 152.5this page
- Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy TrojansTroy Trojans won
- Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 149.5Under won
- Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-6.5)Troy Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.