TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3920…23e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,215
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT39649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 396 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$1,558.06
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,430
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,145
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,040
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,137.27
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$450
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,567.38
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$514.34
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,144.51
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.22
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.82
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$481.49
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+130%+$1,255.5
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.76
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$45.83
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.28
Predators vs. Utahbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 396 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT30452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 304 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$74.64
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$536.77
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$655
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,630.96
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,566.08
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,220.83
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,115.47
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,567
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,142.22
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,600
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$735
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$543
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$760.32
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,073.33
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,765
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$165.78
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$256.89
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,520.04
Showing 25 of 304 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT25149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 251 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,013.79
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.79
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$818.78
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$324.23
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.27
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$272.14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$265
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$51.07
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$531.82
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Showing 25 of 251 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT19554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 195 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.79
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$283.49
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$351.12
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.88
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$51.67
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$156.89
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.91
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-18.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.33
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-7.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.71
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$270.62
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.56
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.6
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.36
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$97.14
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$420.3
Delaware State Hornets vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$241.19
Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.44
Showing 25 of 195 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$211.16
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jarrett Stidham: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$135.32
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$103.99
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Spread: Jaguars (-12.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$187
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$81.32
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$238.6
Lions vs. Bears: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$443
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.8%+$241.04
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$183.5
1H Spread: 49ers (-0.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$96.43
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$139.2
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$489.92
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+37%+$92.47
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$293.19
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$315
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$295.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.