MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x036b0c654502bb269410e8353735575a9203fc24acb8a321b6945c9d7ef7f25f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 75,860$31,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,861.02 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 38,774$23,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,234.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 36,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 29,586$18,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,097.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 14,140$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 11,609$6,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.69 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 11,553$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.79 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 8,888$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.84 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 8,655$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.75 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 5,532$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 5,024$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 4,315$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 3,773$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.76 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 3,722$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.16 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 3,500$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 3,408$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.89 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 3,254$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.85 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,832$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 2,666$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.52 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 2,643$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.2 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,484$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 2,433$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kansas City Royals | 23c | 2,325$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.75 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 2,231$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,839$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 1,637$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.04 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.82 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 999.19$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.73 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 953$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.32 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 890$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.6 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 888.15$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 860.69$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.31 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 854.43$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.96 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 840$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 807.43$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.72 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 725$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 697.76$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.25 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 574.96$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 549.94$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.97 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 481.54$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.11 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 464.89$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 436.03$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.87 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 399.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 397.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Kansas City Royals | 4c | 391.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 371.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.68 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 368.09$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.96 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…6706backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 339.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 308.17$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.59 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 299.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 298.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 290$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…da0abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 263.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 246$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 235.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…4907backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 230$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 230$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 229.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 229.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 197.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kansas City Royals | 14c | 192.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 192$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 191.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 189.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 174$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 286 | 40.9%117 W · 169 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…7579backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…29f9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…1d94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 169.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.